V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction

V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction, who wins and at what price

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are the clear favourite in the V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction, rated 70% to win this J1 League match on Wednesday, 21 October 2026. V-varen Nagasaki sit at 13% and the draw at 17%.

V-varen Nagasaki are expected to score 0.82 and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.25, so the total line is 3.07 goals; over 2.5 lands at 58% and BTTS at 51%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is sanfrecce Hiroshima to win at 70%. The best price in our comparison is 1.41 at 1xBet, which implies 71%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.

For a safer line, sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw covers 88% of outcomes at 1.10.

The draw sits at only 17%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

V-varen Nagasaki average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.6 and 1.6 across 5.

How many goals in V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 42% and under 3.5 63%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 81% and over 2.5 at 58%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 1xBet pay 1.65.

BTTS yes stands at 51%. V-varen Nagasaki score in 56% of simulations against a 44% clean sheet for Sanfrecce Hiroshima; Sanfrecce Hiroshima score in 90% while V-varen Nagasaki shut them out 11% of the time.

Correct score: 0-2 leads at 11.8%, then 0-1 at 10.4% and 1-2 at 9.6%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Sanfrecce Hiroshima, full-time Sanfrecce Hiroshima is the top combination at 47%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.