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Live 16 UTC
J1 League Round 11 Wednesday, 21 October 2026 FT
FC TokyoHomeLWDWW
0:0Half-time 0:0
Kashiwa ReysolAwayLDWDW
482626
FC Tokyo winDrawKashiwa Reysol win
Kick-off
Wed 21 Oct
Expected goals
2.86
1.68 : 1.18
Favourite
48%
FC Tokyo
Over 2.5 goals
54%
model chance
Both teams to score
58%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.953.743.741.762.081.632.14Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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FC Tokyo to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol prediction: FC Tokyo 1.95 (1xBet), draw 3.74 (1xBet), Kashiwa Reysol 3.74 (1xBet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 95.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.76 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.08 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.63 (1xBet) and no 2.14 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

74%

Our prediction

FC Tokyo or Kashiwa Reysol (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.68 : 1.18-4.8% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
54% chance1.76
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.63
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.77fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC Tokyo, full-time FC Tokyo
30% chance3.31fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.38fair

FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol prediction

FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol prediction, who wins and at what price

The FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol prediction leans to FC Tokyo: 48% against 26% for Kashiwa Reysol, with 26% left for the draw, in the J1 League on Wednesday, 21 October 2026.

Expected goals are 1.68 for FC Tokyo and 1.18 for Kashiwa Reysol, a total of 2.86, which puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 58%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol is fC Tokyo or Kashiwa Reysol (no draw), a 74% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.28 at 1xBet, which implies 78%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol.

Over the last 5 matches FC Tokyo stand at 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Kashiwa Reysol show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol

On the goal lines FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol reads 78% for over 1.5, 54% for over 2.5 and 32% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 46%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.76 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 58%, built from FC Tokyo scoring in 81% of runs and Kashiwa Reysol in 69%; clean sheets come at 31% for FC Tokyo and 19% for Kashiwa Reysol.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.4%, then 1-0 at 9.6% and 2-1 at 9.5%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time FC Tokyo, full-time FC Tokyo leads at 30%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

FC Tokyo to win48%1.95
Draw26%3.74
Kashiwa Reysol to win26%3.74
FC Tokyo, draw no bet65%fair 1.54
Kashiwa Reysol, draw no bet35%fair 2.87

Double chance

FC Tokyo or draw74%1.28
Kashiwa Reysol or draw52%1.87
FC Tokyo or Kashiwa Reysol (no draw)74%1.28

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%1.76
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.12
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.17
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.52
Under 2.5 goals46%2.08
Under 3.5 goals68%fair 1.47

BTTS

Both teams to score58%1.63
Not both teams to score42%2.14

Halves

First-half goal72%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.71
Second-half goal79%fair 1.26

Team goals

FC Tokyo to score81%fair 1.23
Kashiwa Reysol to score69%fair 1.44
FC Tokyo clean sheet31%fair 3.26
Kashiwa Reysol clean sheet19%fair 5.38
FC Tokyo to win to nil28%fair 3.53
Kashiwa Reysol to win to nil17%fair 5.85

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
1-09.6%
2-19.5%
2-08.1%
0-16.8%
1-26.7%

Half-time / full-time

FC Tokyo / FC Tokyo30.2%
Draw / FC Tokyo16.1%
Kashiwa Reysol / Kashiwa Reysol15.3%
Draw / Draw14%
Draw / Kashiwa Reysol9.8%

Questions about FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol

Who is favourite in FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?

The model gives FC Tokyo the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 54% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?

The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. FC Tokyo find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Kashiwa Reysol in 69%.

When is FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol and where is the result shown?

FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol starts at 10:00 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, FC Tokyo v Kashiwa ReysolFC Tokyo or Kashiwa Reysol (no draw), 74%
1.28Bet