J1 League
Kyoto SangaHomeLDDWW
2:2Half-time 1:0
KashimaAwayWDLWW252649
Kyoto Sanga winDrawKashima win
Kyoto SangaHomeLDDWWKashimaAwayWDLWW- Kick-off Wed 21 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.82 1.13 : 1.69
- Favourite
- 50% Kashima
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.72 | 3.62 | 1.99 | 1.83 | 2.00 | 1.66 | 2.09 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Kashima to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Kyoto Sanga price at 3.72, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.62 and 1xBet have Kashima longest at 1.99.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.83 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.00 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.66 (1xBet) and no 2.09 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
75%
Our prediction
Kashima or draw
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.83
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.66
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.77fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Kashima, full-time Kashima
31% chance3.22fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.39fair
Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima prediction
Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima prediction, who wins and at what price
Kashima are a narrow favourite in the Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima prediction, rated 50% to win this J1 League match on Wednesday, 21 October 2026. Kyoto Sanga sit at 25% and the draw at 26%.
Expected goals are 1.13 for Kyoto Sanga and 1.69 for Kashima, a total of 2.82, which puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 56%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Kashima or draw is the main selection, rated 75%. At 1.28 with 1xBet the market prices it at 78%, against 75% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Kyoto Sanga average 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across their last 5, Kashima 2.6 and 1.2 across 5.
How many goals in Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 47% and under 3.5 69%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 77% and over 2.5 at 53%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.83 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 56%. Kyoto Sanga score in 68% of simulations against a 32% clean sheet for Kashima; Kashima score in 82% while Kyoto Sanga shut them out 19% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima: 1-1 (11.4%), 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.6%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Kashima, full-time Kashima is the top combination at 31%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.
All markets, Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima
The grid built from 1.13 and 1.69 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Kyoto Sanga to win25%3.72
Draw26%3.62
Kashima to win50%1.99
Kyoto Sanga, draw no bet33%fair 3.03
Kashima, draw no bet67%fair 1.49
Double chance
Kyoto Sanga or draw50%1.83
Kashima or draw75%1.28
Kyoto Sanga or Kashima (no draw)75%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.83
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.19
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.45
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.39
Under 2.5 goals47%2.00
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.46
BTTS
Both teams to score56%1.66
Not both teams to score44%2.09
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.76
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27
Team goals
Kyoto Sanga to score68%fair 1.48
Kashima to score82%fair 1.23
Kyoto Sanga clean sheet19%fair 5.41
Kashima clean sheet32%fair 3.10
Kyoto Sanga to win to nil17%fair 5.88
Kashima to win to nil30%fair 3.37
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.4%
0-110.1%
1-29.6%
0-28.5%
1-06.7%
2-16.4%
Half-time / full-time
Kashima / Kashima31.1%
Draw / Kashima16.5%
Kyoto Sanga / Kyoto Sanga14.4%
Draw / Draw14.2%
Draw / Kyoto Sanga9.4%
Questions about Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima
Who is favourite in Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima?
The model gives Kashima the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 53%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Kyoto Sanga find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Kashima in 82%.
What time does Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima kick off?
Kick-off is 10:00 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.