Serie B
CesenaHomeLDLWD
1:1Half-time 0:0
AvellinoAwayWDLDW423028
Cesena winDrawAvellino win
CesenaHomeLDLWDAvellinoAwayWDLDW- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.61 1.46 : 1.15
- Favourite
- 42% Cesena
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Cesena vs Avellino
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.24 | 3.10 | 3.33 | 1.88 | 1.86 | 1.67 | 2.08 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Cesena to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Cesena vs Avellino prediction: Cesena 2.24 (1xBet), draw 3.10 (1xBet), Avellino 3.33 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.88 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.86 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.67 (1xBet) and no 2.08 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
73%
Our prediction
Cesena or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.86
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.67
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Cesena, full-time Cesena
27% chance3.77fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.45fair
Cesena vs Avellino odds movement
Cesena win2.24-0.06
Draw3.10-0.15
Avellino win3.33-0.19
Over 2.5 goals1.88-0.17
Under 2.5 goals1.86unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Cesena vs Avellino prediction
Cesena vs Avellino prediction and best bet
Cesena are marginally ahead in the Cesena vs Avellino prediction, rated 42% to win this Serie B match on Sunday, 18 October 2026. Avellino sit at 27% and the draw at 30%.
Cesena are expected to score 1.46 and Avellino 1.15, so the total line is 2.61 goals; over 2.5 lands at 48% and BTTS at 55%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is cesena or draw at 73%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.30. That price implies 77%, 4 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
A 30% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Cesena average 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Avellino 1.6 and 0.8 across 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Cesena vs Avellino
Under 2.5 goals is rated 52% and under 3.5 73%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 74% and over 2.5 at 48%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 1xBet pay 1.86.
BTTS yes stands at 55%. Cesena score in 77% of simulations against a 23% clean sheet for Avellino; Avellino score in 68% while Cesena shut them out 32% of the time.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.3%, then 1-0 at 10.7% and 2-1 at 9%.
With the top scoreline at 12.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Cesena vs Avellino; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Cesena, full-time Cesena is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.
All markets, Cesena vs Avellino
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Cesena vs Avellino, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Cesena to win42%2.24
Draw30%3.10
Avellino to win27%3.33
Cesena, draw no bet61%fair 1.64
Avellino, draw no bet39%fair 2.55
Double chance
Cesena or draw73%1.30
Avellino or draw58%1.61
Cesena or Avellino (no draw)70%1.34
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%1.88
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.76
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.06
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.77
Under 2.5 goals52%1.86
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.36
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.67
Not both teams to score45%2.08
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.05
Second-half goal76%fair 1.31
Team goals
Cesena to score77%fair 1.30
Avellino to score68%fair 1.46
Cesena clean sheet32%fair 3.15
Avellino clean sheet23%fair 4.31
Cesena to win to nil29%fair 3.44
Avellino to win to nil21%fair 4.67
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.3%
1-010.7%
2-19%
0-18.5%
2-07.8%
0-07.4%
Half-time / full-time
Cesena / Cesena26.5%
Avellino / Avellino17%
Draw / Draw15.9%
Draw / Cesena15.4%
Draw / Avellino11.1%
Questions about Cesena vs Avellino
Cesena or Avellino: which side does the model back?
The model gives Cesena the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Cesena vs Avellino correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 48%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Cesena vs Avellino both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Cesena find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Avellino in 68%.
What time does Cesena vs Avellino kick off?
Cesena vs Avellino starts at 15:15 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.