Mantova vs Palermo prediction

Mantova vs Palermo prediction and best bet

The Mantova vs Palermo prediction leans to Palermo: 44% against 27% for Mantova, with 29% left for the draw, in the Serie B on Saturday, 17 October 2026.

Mantova are expected to score 1.29 and Palermo 1.68, so the total line is 2.97 goals; over 2.5 lands at 57% and BTTS at 61%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Palermo or draw is the main selection, rated 73%. The best price in our comparison is 1.31 at 1xBet, which implies 76%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Mantova vs Palermo.

Mantova average 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Palermo 2.8 and 1.4 across 5.

Mantova vs Palermo goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

On the goal lines Mantova vs Palermo reads 80% for over 1.5, 57% for over 2.5 and 35% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 43%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%; 1xBet pay 1.67.

BTTS yes stands at 61%. Mantova score in 73% of simulations against a 28% clean sheet for Palermo; Palermo score in 81% while Mantova shut them out 19% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Mantova vs Palermo: 1-1 (11.1%), 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-1 (8.6%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Palermo, full-time Palermo is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.