Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus prediction

Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus prediction, who wins and at what price

Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus prediction for the Serie B on Saturday, 17 October 2026: the model makes Benevento a narrow favourite at 50%, with the draw at 26% and Vicenza Virtus at 24%.

Expected goals are 1.73 for Benevento and 1.13 for Vicenza Virtus, a total of 2.86, which puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 58%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus is benevento to win, a 50% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.92. That price implies 52%, 2 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus.

For a safer line, benevento or draw covers 76% of outcomes at 1.25.

Benevento average 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Vicenza Virtus 1.2 and 2.0 across 5.

Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

On the goal lines Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus reads 78% for over 1.5, 54% for over 2.5 and 32% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 46%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; 1xBet pay 1.69.

Both teams to score is 58%: Benevento find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Vicenza Virtus in 68%. Benevento keep a clean sheet 32% of the time and Vicenza Virtus 18%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.2%, followed by 1-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.7%).

With the top scoreline at 11.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Benevento, full-time Benevento leads at 32%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.