Serie B
PadovaHomeLLWWD
1:2Half-time 1:0
Virtus EntellaAwayDWLDL343432
Padova winDrawVirtus Entella win
PadovaHomeLLWWDVirtus EntellaAwayDWLDL- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.32 1.17 : 1.15
- Favourite
- 34% Padova
- Over 2.5 goals
- 41% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Padova vs Virtus Entella betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.67 | 2.88 | 2.83 | 2.15 | 1.65 | 1.82 | 1.88 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Padova to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Padova vs Virtus Entella are 2.67 for Padova at 1xBet, 2.88 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.83 for Virtus Entella at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 93%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.15 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.65 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.82 (1xBet) and no 1.88 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
68%
Our prediction
Padova or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
60% chance1.65
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
67% chance1.48fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Padova, full-time Padova
21% chance4.78fair
First halfFirst-half goal
65% chance1.54fair
Padova vs Virtus Entella odds movement
Padova win2.67-0.18
Draw2.88-0.22
Virtus Entella win2.83-0.17
Over 2.5 goals2.15-0.22
Under 2.5 goals1.65unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Padova vs Virtus Entella prediction
Our Padova vs Virtus Entella prediction and pick
Nothing separates the sides in the Padova vs Virtus Entella prediction for Saturday, 17 October 2026: 34% home, 34% draw and 33% away in the Serie B. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Padova are expected to score 1.17 and Virtus Entella 1.15, so the total line is 2.32 goals; over 2.5 lands at 41% and BTTS at 50%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is padova or draw at 68%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.39. That price implies 72%, 4 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Padova vs Virtus Entella.
The draw is live at 34%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Form check: Padova have won 2 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 5 conceded, Virtus Entella 1 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 6.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Padova vs Virtus Entella
Under 2.5 goals is rated 60% and under 3.5 80%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 67% and over 2.5 at 41%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.65 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 50%: Padova find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Virtus Entella in 68%. Padova keep a clean sheet 32% of the time and Virtus Entella 31%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Padova vs Virtus Entella: 1-1 (13.2%), 1-0 (11.5%) and 0-1 (11.3%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Padova, full-time Padova leads at 21%. A goal before the break is rated 65%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Padova vs Virtus Entella
The grid built from 1.17 and 1.15 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Padova to win34%2.67
Draw34%2.88
Virtus Entella to win33%2.83
Padova, draw no bet51%fair 1.96
Virtus Entella, draw no bet49%fair 2.04
Double chance
Padova or draw68%1.39
Virtus Entella or draw66%1.43
Padova or Virtus Entella (no draw)67%1.37
Goals
Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals67%fair 1.48
Over 2.5 goals41%2.15
Over 3.5 goals21%fair 4.88
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 11.63
Under 1.5 goals33%fair 3.07
Under 2.5 goals60%1.65
Under 3.5 goals80%fair 1.26
BTTS
Both teams to score50%1.82
Not both teams to score50%1.88
Halves
First-half goal65%fair 1.54
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.57
Second-half goal72%fair 1.39
Team goals
Padova to score69%fair 1.45
Virtus Entella to score68%fair 1.46
Padova clean sheet32%fair 3.15
Virtus Entella clean sheet31%fair 3.23
Padova to win to nil29%fair 3.44
Virtus Entella to win to nil29%fair 3.50
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-113.2%
1-011.5%
0-111.3%
0-09.8%
2-17.7%
1-27.6%
Half-time / full-time
Padova / Padova20.9%
Virtus Entella / Virtus Entella20.3%
Draw / Draw18.4%
Draw / Padova13.7%
Draw / Virtus Entella13.4%
Questions about Padova vs Virtus Entella
Padova or Virtus Entella: which side does the model back?
The model gives Padova the best chance at 34%, with the draw at 34%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Padova vs Virtus Entella?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 41% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Padova vs Virtus Entella?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Padova find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Virtus Entella in 68%.
When is Padova vs Virtus Entella and where is the result shown?
Padova vs Virtus Entella starts at 13:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.