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Serie B Round 9 Tuesday, 27 October 2026 FT
CesenaHomeLDLWD
2:1Half-time 1:0
EmpoliAwayLDLLD
462925
Cesena winDrawEmpoli win
Kick-off
Tue 27 Oct
Expected goals
2.55
1.49 : 1.06
Favourite
46%
Cesena
Over 2.5 goals
47%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Cesena vs Empoli odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.053.283.601.911.831.722.01Bet
22Bet2.043.283.881.981.831.742.10Bet
BC.Game1.973.253.851.851.861.692.04Bet
Betwinner2.043.283.881.981.831.742.10Bet
Melbet2.043.283.881.981.831.742.10Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Cesena to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Cesena vs Empoli are 2.05 for Cesena at 1xBet, 3.28 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.88 for Empoli at Melbet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.98 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.86 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (Melbet) and no 2.10 (Melbet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

75%

Our prediction

Cesena or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.49 : 1.06-6% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.86
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Cesena, full-time Cesena
28% chance3.52fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.46fair

Cesena vs Empoli odds movement

Cesena win2.05-0.03
Draw3.28-0.07
Empoli win3.88-0.13
Over 2.5 goals1.98-0.13
Under 2.5 goals1.86unchanged

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Cesena vs Empoli prediction

Cesena vs Empoli prediction and best bet

Cesena vs Empoli prediction for the Serie B on Tuesday, 27 October 2026: the model makes Cesena marginally ahead at 46%, with the draw at 29% and Empoli at 25%.

The goal expectancy is 2.55 in total, split 1.49 to Cesena and 1.06 to Empoli. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 47% and both teams to score 53%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is cesena or draw at 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.26 at 1xBet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Cesena vs Empoli.

Form check: Cesena have won 1 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 8 conceded, Empoli 0 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 11.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Cesena vs Empoli

Under 2.5 goals is rated 54% and under 3.5 75%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 72% and over 2.5 at 47%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.86 at BC.Game.

BTTS yes stands at 53%. Cesena score in 78% of simulations against a 23% clean sheet for Empoli; Empoli score in 65% while Cesena shut them out 35% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.3%, followed by 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.2%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Cesena, full-time Cesena leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Cesena vs Empoli

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Cesena vs Empoli, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Cesena to win46%2.05
Draw29%3.28
Empoli to win25%3.88
Cesena, draw no bet64%fair 1.56
Empoli, draw no bet36%fair 2.80

Double chance

Cesena or draw75%1.26
Empoli or draw54%1.78
Cesena or Empoli (no draw)71%1.34

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals47%1.98
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 3.95
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.62
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.61
Under 2.5 goals54%1.86
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.34

BTTS

Both teams to score53%1.74
Not both teams to score47%2.10

Halves

First-half goal68%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.14
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33

Team goals

Cesena to score78%fair 1.29
Empoli to score65%fair 1.53
Cesena clean sheet35%fair 2.89
Empoli clean sheet23%fair 4.44
Cesena to win to nil32%fair 3.13
Empoli to win to nil21%fair 4.83

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.3%
1-011.6%
2-19.2%
2-08.7%
0-18.3%
0-07.8%

Half-time / full-time

Cesena / Cesena28.4%
Draw / Cesena16.3%
Draw / Draw16.2%
Empoli / Empoli15.1%
Draw / Empoli10.3%

Questions about Cesena vs Empoli

Cesena or Empoli: which side does the model back?

The model gives Cesena the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in Cesena vs Empoli?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 47% backs the same picture with less variance.

Cesena vs Empoli both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Cesena find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Empoli in 65%.

What time does Cesena vs Empoli kick off?

Cesena vs Empoli starts at 19:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Cesena v EmpoliCesena or draw, 75%
1.26Bet