Pisa vs Cremonese prediction

Pisa vs Cremonese prediction and best bet

Pisa host Cremonese on Saturday, 17 October 2026 in the Serie B, and the model has Pisa at 45%, the draw at 30% and Cremonese at 25%: that is the Pisa vs Cremonese prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.47 in total, split 1.44 to Pisa and 1.03 to Cremonese. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 44% and both teams to score 52%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Pisa vs Cremonese is pisa or draw, a 75% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.26. That price implies 79%, 4 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

The draw is live at 30%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Form check: Pisa have won 2 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 7 conceded, Cremonese 2 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 4.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Pisa vs Cremonese

Under 2.5 goals is rated 56% and under 3.5 76%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 71% and over 2.5 at 44%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.76 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Pisa scoring in 76% of runs and Cremonese in 64%; clean sheets come at 36% for Pisa and 24% for Cremonese.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.5%, followed by 1-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Pisa, full-time Pisa is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.