Carrarese vs Modena prediction

Our Carrarese vs Modena prediction and pick

The Carrarese vs Modena prediction leans to Modena: 54% against 19% for Carrarese, with 26% left for the draw, in the Serie B on Saturday, 17 October 2026.

Expected goals are 1.02 for Carrarese and 1.80 for Modena, a total of 2.82, which puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 55%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Modena to win is the main selection, rated 54%. The best price in our comparison is 1.78 at 1xBet, which implies 56%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Carrarese vs Modena.

Modena or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance, priced 1.19.

Carrarese average 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Modena 2.0 and 1.2 across 5.

How many goals in Carrarese vs Modena? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 77%, over 2.5 at 53%, over 3.5 at 31%; under 2.5 is 47% and under 3.5 is 69%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.77 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 55%, built from Carrarese scoring in 64% of runs and Modena in 84%; clean sheets come at 17% for Carrarese and 36% for Modena.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.9%, then 0-1 at 10.7% and 1-2 at 9.8%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Modena, full-time Modena is the top combination at 35%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.