Sampdoria vs Arezzo prediction

Sampdoria vs Arezzo prediction, who wins and at what price

Sampdoria are a narrow favourite in the Sampdoria vs Arezzo prediction, rated 52% to win this Serie B match on Sunday, 18 October 2026. Arezzo sit at 20% and the draw at 29%.

Sampdoria are expected to score 1.58 and Arezzo 0.92, so the total line is 2.50 goals; over 2.5 lands at 45% and BTTS at 50%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Sampdoria vs Arezzo is sampdoria to win, a 52% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.83 at 1xBet, which implies 55%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, sampdoria or draw covers 80% of outcomes at 1.20.

Form check: Sampdoria have won 1 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 9 conceded, Arezzo 1 of 5 scoring 3 and conceding 6.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Sampdoria vs Arezzo

On the goal lines Sampdoria vs Arezzo reads 71% for over 1.5, 45% for over 2.5 and 24% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 55%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; 1xBet pay 1.80.

BTTS yes stands at 50%. Sampdoria score in 79% of simulations against a 21% clean sheet for Arezzo; Arezzo score in 60% while Sampdoria shut them out 40% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Sampdoria vs Arezzo: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (11.9%) and 2-0 (10.2%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sampdoria, full-time Sampdoria leads at 32%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.