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Live 18 UTC
Serie B Round 10 Saturday, 31 October 2026 FT
SudtirolHomeDLDLD
1:1Half-time 1:0
CesenaAwayLDLWD
413128
Sudtirol winDrawCesena win
Kick-off
Sat 31 Oct
Expected goals
2.39
1.31 : 1.08
Favourite
41%
Sudtirol
Over 2.5 goals
42%
model chance
Both teams to score
50%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for Sudtirol vs Cesena

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.273.183.192.011.751.771.94Bet
22Bet2.603.162.852.231.661.901.90Bet
BC.Game2.463.003.002.121.661.801.91Bet
Betwinner2.603.162.852.231.661.901.90Bet
Melbet2.603.162.852.231.661.901.90Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Sudtirol to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Sudtirol vs Cesena are 2.60 for Sudtirol at Melbet, 3.18 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.19 for Cesena at 1xBet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.23 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.75 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.90 (Melbet) and no 1.94 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

72%

Our prediction

Sudtirol or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.31 : 1.08+1.5% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.75
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.90
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.45fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.69fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sudtirol, full-time Sudtirol
25% chance4.07fair
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.52fair

Sudtirol vs Cesena prediction

Sudtirol vs Cesena prediction, who wins and at what price

Sudtirol host Cesena on Saturday, 31 October 2026 in the Serie B, and the model has Sudtirol at 41%, the draw at 31% and Cesena at 29%: that is the Sudtirol vs Cesena prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.39 in total, split 1.31 to Sudtirol and 1.08 to Cesena. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 42% and both teams to score 50%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Sudtirol or draw is the main selection, rated 72%. At 1.42 with Betwinner the market prices it at 70%, against 72% from the model.

The draw is live at 31%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Form check: Sudtirol have won 0 of their last 5 with 2 scored and 7 conceded, Cesena 1 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 8.

A low-scoring Sudtirol vs Cesena? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Sudtirol vs Cesena reads 69% for over 1.5, 42% for over 2.5 and 22% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 58%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.75 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 50%, built from Sudtirol scoring in 73% of runs and Cesena in 66%; clean sheets come at 34% for Sudtirol and 27% for Cesena.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13%, followed by 1-0 (12%) and 0-1 (9.9%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Sudtirol, full-time Sudtirol is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 66%.

All markets, Sudtirol vs Cesena

The grid built from 1.31 and 1.08 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Sudtirol to win41%2.60
Draw31%3.18
Cesena to win29%3.19
Sudtirol, draw no bet59%fair 1.70
Cesena, draw no bet41%fair 2.42

Double chance

Sudtirol or draw72%1.42
Cesena or draw60%1.59
Sudtirol or Cesena (no draw)69%1.36

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.45
Over 2.5 goals42%2.23
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.57
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.53
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.22
Under 2.5 goals58%1.75
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.28

BTTS

Both teams to score50%1.90
Not both teams to score50%1.94

Halves

First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.42
Second-half goal73%fair 1.37

Team goals

Sudtirol to score73%fair 1.37
Cesena to score66%fair 1.52
Sudtirol clean sheet34%fair 2.94
Cesena clean sheet27%fair 3.70
Sudtirol to win to nil31%fair 3.21
Cesena to win to nil25%fair 4.03

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-113%
1-012%
0-19.9%
0-09.2%
2-18.5%
2-07.9%

Half-time / full-time

Sudtirol / Sudtirol24.6%
Draw / Draw17.7%
Cesena / Cesena17.3%
Draw / Sudtirol15.2%
Draw / Cesena11.7%

Questions about Sudtirol vs Cesena

Sudtirol or Cesena: which side does the model back?

The model gives Sudtirol the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 31%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Sudtirol vs Cesena?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 42%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Sudtirol vs Cesena?

The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Sudtirol find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Cesena in 66%.

What time does Sudtirol vs Cesena kick off?

Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Sudtirol v CesenaSudtirol or draw, 72%
1.42Bet