Modena vs Cesena prediction

Our Modena vs Cesena prediction and pick

Modena are the clear favourite in the Modena vs Cesena prediction, rated 60% to win this Serie B match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Cesena sit at 17% and the draw at 23%.

The goal expectancy is 2.86 in total, split 1.93 to Modena and 0.93 to Cesena. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 54% and both teams to score 53%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Modena to win is the main selection, rated 60%. The best price in our comparison is 1.53 at 1xBet, which implies 65%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Modena or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 83% chance, priced 1.12.

Modena average 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Cesena 0.8 and 1.6 across 5.

How many goals in Modena vs Cesena? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 46% and under 3.5 68%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 78% and over 2.5 at 54%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; 1xBet pay 1.67.

Both teams to score is 53%: Modena find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Cesena in 61%. Modena keep a clean sheet 40% of the time and Cesena 15%.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 11.1%, then 2-0 at 10.7% and 1-1 at 10.3%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Modena, full-time Modena is the top combination at 39%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.