Serie B
AvellinoHomeWDLDW
0:1Half-time 0:1
PadovaAwayLLWWD442927
Avellino winDrawPadova win
AvellinoHomeWDLDWPadovaAwayLLWWD- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.49 1.43 : 1.06
- Favourite
- 44% Avellino
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Avellino vs Padova
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.15 | 3.18 | 3.45 | 2.02 | 1.74 | 1.78 | 1.93 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Avellino to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Avellino vs Padova prediction: Avellino 2.15 (1xBet), draw 3.18 (1xBet), Padova 3.45 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.02 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.74 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.78 (1xBet) and no 1.93 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
74%
Our prediction
Avellino or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.74
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.78
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.41fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Avellino, full-time Avellino
27% chance3.68fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.48fair
Avellino vs Padova odds movement
Avellino win2.15-0.10
Draw3.18-0.07
Padova win3.45-0.22
Over 2.5 goals2.02-0.17
Under 2.5 goals1.74-0.01
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Avellino vs Padova prediction
Avellino vs Padova prediction and best bet
Avellino are marginally ahead in the Avellino vs Padova prediction, rated 44% to win this Serie B match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Padova sit at 26% and the draw at 29%.
Avellino are expected to score 1.43 and Padova 1.06, so the total line is 2.49 goals; over 2.5 lands at 45% and BTTS at 52%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Avellino vs Padova is avellino or draw, a 74% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.28 at 1xBet, which implies 78%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Avellino stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Padova show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Avellino vs Padova
On the goal lines Avellino vs Padova reads 71% for over 1.5, 45% for over 2.5 and 24% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 55%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.74 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 52%: Avellino find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Padova in 65%. Avellino keep a clean sheet 35% of the time and Padova 24%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%, followed by 1-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.6% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Avellino, full-time Avellino is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.
Every market rated for Avellino vs Padova
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Avellino vs Padova, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Avellino to win44%2.15
Draw29%3.18
Padova to win26%3.45
Avellino, draw no bet63%fair 1.59
Padova, draw no bet37%fair 2.68
Double chance
Avellino or draw74%1.28
Padova or draw56%1.65
Avellino or Padova (no draw)71%1.32
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.41
Over 2.5 goals45%2.02
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.17
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.35
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.46
Under 2.5 goals55%1.74
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.32
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.78
Not both teams to score48%1.93
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.48
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.25
Second-half goal75%fair 1.34
Team goals
Avellino to score76%fair 1.31
Padova to score65%fair 1.53
Avellino clean sheet35%fair 2.89
Padova clean sheet24%fair 4.18
Avellino to win to nil32%fair 3.13
Padova to win to nil22%fair 4.55
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.6%
1-011.9%
2-19%
0-18.8%
2-08.5%
0-08.3%
Half-time / full-time
Avellino / Avellino27.2%
Draw / Draw16.7%
Draw / Avellino16%
Padova / Padova15.7%
Draw / Padova10.7%
Questions about Avellino vs Padova
Who is favourite in Avellino vs Padova?
The model gives Avellino the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Avellino vs Padova correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 45%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Avellino vs Padova?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Avellino find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Padova in 65%.
When is Avellino vs Padova and where is the result shown?
Avellino vs Padova starts at 13:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.