Primera A predictions for every fixture

Primera A predictions for the coming round

Primera A predictions cover 16 of the next 16 fixtures. 0 of them already carry bookmaker prices. On an average fixture in this round the model makes the favourite a 52% chance, the draw 25%, over 2.5 goals 48% and BTTS 49%.

Expected goals average 2.59 a match, so the goal lines open below 2.5 for most of the round. Home sides are favoured in 12 of the 16 rated fixtures. 2 picks reach banker grade, which needs a chance of 80% or more.

The strongest Primera A pick of the round is america de Cali or draw in America de Cali v Deportivo Cali on Sun 8 Nov, rated 78%.

The widest gap between model and market is Águilas Doradas to win in Águilas Doradas v Fortaleza FC. The model has it at 51% against a best price of 2.06, an edge of 5.5% on a flat stake.

Each row on the board shows the three-way bar, the pick in green and the best price. The match pages print every market, the six most likely scores and the full Primera A odds table.

Primera A results and trends, last 60 days

The last 105 Primera A matches of the past 60 days produced 51 home wins, 30 draws and 24 away wins. That is a home win rate of 49% and a draw rate of 29%.

Goals averaged 2.58 a match, 1.50 for the home side and 1.09 for the visitors. Over 2.5 goals landed in 51% of matches and over 1.5 in 75%. Both teams scored in 56%, and at least one side kept a clean sheet in 44%.

The highest-scoring match in the window was Junior 3-3 Jaguares on Sun 6 Sep.

The model rates over 2.5 at 48% for the coming round against a 51% strike rate in these results, so the two readings agree.

The results block under the board lists each match with the final score, the half-time score and the pick that was frozen before kick-off, so the trend can be checked line by line.

How the Primera A tips have gone

16 Primera A tips have been settled in the last 60 days: 12 won and 4 lost, a hit rate of 75%. At a flat stake on the best price at freeze time the return is +9.9%.

The best-performing market for the competition appears here once any single market reaches five settled tips. Until then the figures above cover every market together and move quickly from round to round.

Every tip is frozen 40 hours before kick-off and graded from the final score. The day-by-day list sits on the results pages. 32 further Primera A tips are frozen and waiting for their matches.

A frozen tip cannot be edited or withdrawn, so this record reads the same way as the site-wide one: what was published, then what came in.

Primera A odds comparison

Bookmakers have priced 8 of the coming Primera A fixtures, with a median of 6 prices per outcome on a typical match. Taking the best price on each 1X2 outcome pays 93.6% of stakes across the round, against 92.3% at an average single bookmaker.

That gap of 1.3 points is what the comparison saves before any pick is made. Every match page lists each bookmaker's 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS lines with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link.

The edge printed beside a pick compares the model chance with that best price. The value bets page collects the largest gaps across every competition and the banker page the highest chances, with Primera A rows included whenever they qualify.