Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto prediction

Our Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto prediction and pick

Atletico Nacional are the clear favourite in the Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto prediction, rated 75% to win this Primera A match on Friday, 23 October 2026. Deportivo Pasto sit at 7% and the draw at 18%.

The goal expectancy is 2.85 in total, split 2.27 to Atletico Nacional and 0.58 to Deportivo Pasto. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 54% and both teams to score 40%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto is atletico Nacional to win, a 75% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.25. That price implies 80%, 5 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Atletico Nacional or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 93% chance, priced -.

With the draw down at 18%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Atletico Nacional stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Deportivo Pasto show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

On the goal lines Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto reads 78% for over 1.5, 54% for over 2.5 and 32% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 46%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.71 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 40%, built from Atletico Nacional scoring in 90% of runs and Deportivo Pasto in 44%; clean sheets come at 56% for Atletico Nacional and 10% for Deportivo Pasto.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 14.9%, followed by 1-0 (13.1%) and 3-0 (11.3%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Atletico Nacional, full-time Atletico Nacional leads at 52%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.