Primera A
Atletico NacionalHomeWLWWW
2:0Half-time 2:0
Santa FeAwayDLWWL652015
Atletico Nacional winDrawSanta Fe win
Atletico NacionalHomeWLWWWSanta FeAwayDLWWL- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.19 2.21 : 0.98
- Favourite
- 65% Atletico Nacional
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.47 | 4.40 | 5.82 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 1.60 | 2.19 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.48 | 4.58 | 6.35 | 1.53 | 2.50 | 1.70 | 2.15 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.39 | 4.50 | 6.40 | 1.53 | 2.38 | 1.68 | 1.99 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.48 | 4.58 | 6.35 | 1.53 | 2.50 | 1.70 | 2.15 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.48 | 4.58 | 6.35 | 1.53 | 2.50 | 1.70 | 2.15 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.43 | 4.80 | 6.00 | 1.47 | 2.45 | 1.65 | 2.07 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Atletico Nacional to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe are 1.48 for Atletico Nacional at Melbet, 4.80 for the draw at Stake and 6.40 for Santa Fe at BC.Game.
The best-price payout across the three results is 95.9%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.53 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.50 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.70 (Melbet) and no 2.19 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
65%
Our prediction
Atletico Nacional to win
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw
85% chance1.12
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
62% chance1.53
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.70
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.21fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
10% chance9.90fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Atletico Nacional, full-time Atletico Nacional
43% chance2.32fair
Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe prediction
Our Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe prediction and pick
Atletico Nacional host Santa Fe on Friday, 30 October 2026 in the Primera A, and the model has Atletico Nacional at 65%, the draw at 20% and Santa Fe at 15%: that is the Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 2.21 for Atletico Nacional and 0.98 for Santa Fe, a total of 3.19, which puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 56%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe is atletico Nacional to win, a 65% chance. Melbet offer the top price at 1.48. That price implies 68%, 3 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Atletico Nacional or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 85% chance, priced 1.12.
With the draw down at 20%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Form check: Atletico Nacional have won 4 of their last 5 with 11 scored and 3 conceded, Santa Fe 2 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 7.
Goals forecast for Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 39% and under 3.5 61%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 83% and over 2.5 at 62%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 62%, best priced 1.53 at Melbet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 56%, built from Atletico Nacional scoring in 89% of runs and Santa Fe in 63%; clean sheets come at 38% for Atletico Nacional and 11% for Santa Fe.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe: 2-0 (10.1%), 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.1%).
With the top scoreline at 10.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Atletico Nacional, full-time Atletico Nacional leads at 43%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe
The grid built from 2.21 and 0.98 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Atletico Nacional to win65%1.48
Draw20%4.80
Santa Fe to win15%6.40
Atletico Nacional, draw no bet81%fair 1.23
Santa Fe, draw no bet19%fair 5.32
Double chance
Atletico Nacional or draw85%1.12
Santa Fe or draw35%2.67
Atletico Nacional or Santa Fe (no draw)80%1.20
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.21
Over 2.5 goals62%1.53
Over 3.5 goals40%fair 2.53
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.59
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.78
Under 2.5 goals39%2.50
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.65
BTTS
Both teams to score56%1.70
Not both teams to score44%2.19
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.38
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21
Team goals
Atletico Nacional to score89%fair 1.12
Santa Fe to score63%fair 1.60
Atletico Nacional clean sheet38%fair 2.67
Santa Fe clean sheet11%fair 9.09
Atletico Nacional to win to nil35%fair 2.90
Santa Fe to win to nil10%fair 9.90
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-010.1%
2-19.9%
1-09.1%
1-18.9%
3-07.4%
3-17.3%
Half-time / full-time
Atletico Nacional / Atletico Nacional43.1%
Draw / Atletico Nacional18.7%
Draw / Draw10.9%
Santa Fe / Santa Fe8.5%
Draw / Santa Fe5.8%
Questions about Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe
Atletico Nacional or Santa Fe: which side does the model back?
The model gives Atletico Nacional the best chance at 65%, with the draw at 20%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 62%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Atletico Nacional find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Santa Fe in 63%.
When is Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 01:30 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.