Santa Fe vs Jaguares prediction

Santa Fe vs Jaguares prediction and best bet

Santa Fe host Jaguares on Thursday, 22 October 2026 in the Primera A, and the model has Santa Fe at 79%, the draw at 14% and Jaguares at 8%: that is the Santa Fe vs Jaguares prediction in one line.

Santa Fe are expected to score 2.75 and Jaguares 0.76, so the total line is 3.51 goals; over 2.5 lands at 67% and BTTS at 50%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is santa Fe to win at 79%. The best price in our comparison is 1.25 at 1xBet, which implies 80%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

Santa Fe or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 92% chance, priced 1.02.

The draw sits at only 14%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Santa Fe average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Jaguares 1.2 and 1.8 across 5.

Goals forecast for Santa Fe vs Jaguares with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 33% and under 3.5 54%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 87% and over 2.5 at 67%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 67%; 1xBet pay 1.42.

BTTS yes stands at 50%. Santa Fe score in 94% of simulations against a 6% clean sheet for Jaguares; Jaguares score in 53% while Santa Fe shut them out 47% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Santa Fe vs Jaguares: 2-0 (11.3%), 3-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (8.6%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Santa Fe, full-time Santa Fe is the top combination at 56%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 79%.