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Live 35 UTC
Primera A Clausura - 18 Sunday, 8 November 2026 Kick-off
Deportes TolimaHomeDDLLL
Sun 8 Nov
MillonariosAwayDDDWD
492625
Deportes Tolima winDrawMillonarios win
Kick-off
Sun 8 Nov
Expected goals
2.47
1.48 : 0.99
Favourite
49%
Deportes Tolima
Over 2.5 goals
45%
model chance
Both teams to score
49%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios odds comparison

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

75%

Our prediction

Deportes Tolima or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.48 : 0.99
1.34fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.81fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.94fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance8.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Deportes Tolima, full-time Deportes Tolima
29% chance3.41fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.49fair

Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios prediction

Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios prediction, who wins and at what price

The Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios prediction leans to Deportes Tolima: 49% against 25% for Millonarios, with 26% left for the draw, in the Primera A on Sunday, 8 November 2026.

Expected goals are 1.48 for Deportes Tolima and 0.99 for Millonarios, a total of 2.47, which puts over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 49%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is deportes Tolima or draw at 75%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

Form check: Deportes Tolima have won 0 of their last 5 with 3 scored and 6 conceded, Millonarios 1 of 5 scoring 9 and conceding 6.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 71%, over 2.5 at 45%, over 3.5 at 24%; under 2.5 is 55% and under 3.5 is 76%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 55%.

The chance of both teams scoring is 49%, built from Deportes Tolima scoring in 77% of runs and Millonarios in 63%; clean sheets come at 37% for Deportes Tolima and 23% for Millonarios.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios: 1-0 (12.5%), 1-1 (12.4%) and 2-0 (9.3%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Deportes Tolima, full-time Deportes Tolima leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 49% / 26% / 25% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Deportes Tolima to win49%fair 2.05
Draw26%fair 3.82
Millonarios to win25%fair 3.98
Deportes Tolima, draw no bet66%fair 1.52
Millonarios, draw no bet34%fair 2.94

Double chance

Deportes Tolima or draw75%fair 1.34
Millonarios or draw51%fair 1.95
Deportes Tolima or Millonarios (no draw)74%fair 1.36

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals45%fair 2.23
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.24
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.52
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.40
Under 2.5 goals55%fair 1.81
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.31

BTTS

Both teams to score49%fair 2.06
Not both teams to score52%fair 1.94

Halves

First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.28
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35

Team goals

Deportes Tolima to score77%fair 1.30
Millonarios to score63%fair 1.59
Deportes Tolima clean sheet37%fair 2.69
Millonarios clean sheet23%fair 4.39
Deportes Tolima to win to nil34%fair 2.92
Millonarios to win to nil21%fair 4.78

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-012.5%
1-112.4%
2-09.3%
2-19.2%
0-08.5%
0-18.4%

Half-time / full-time

Deportes Tolima / Deportes Tolima29.3%
Draw / Deportes Tolima16.9%
Draw / Draw16.7%
Millonarios / Millonarios14%
Draw / Millonarios9.8%

Questions about Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios

Who is favourite in Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios?

The model gives Deportes Tolima the best chance at 49%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios correct score: what does the model say?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 45% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios?

The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Deportes Tolima find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Millonarios in 63%.

When do Deportes Tolima play Millonarios?

Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios starts at 23:10 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Deportes Tolima v MillonariosDeportes Tolima or draw, 75%
1.34fair