Skip to the predictions
Live 16 UTC
Primera A Clausura - 5 Thursday, 29 October 2026 FT
Internacional de BogotaHomeDWWLW
3:1Half-time 1:0
Independiente MedellinAwayLLLLW
362935
Internacional de Bogota winDrawIndependiente Medellin win
Kick-off
Thu 29 Oct
Expected goals
2.67
1.34 : 1.33
Favourite
36%
Internacional de Bogota
Over 2.5 goals
50%
model chance
Both teams to score
56%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.863.162.421.871.871.662.09Bet
22Bet3.283.322.232.011.811.702.15Bet
BC.Game3.103.202.161.861.861.662.02Bet
Betwinner3.283.322.232.011.811.702.15Bet
Melbet3.283.322.232.011.811.702.15Bet
Stake3.053.302.241.801.881.662.06Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Internacional de Bogota to win partner prices

22Bet pay the best Internacional de Bogota price at 3.28, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.32 and 1xBet have Independiente Medellin longest at 2.42.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.01 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.88 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.70 (22Bet) and no 2.15 (22Bet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

71%

Our prediction

Internacional de Bogota or Independiente Medellin (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.34 : 1.33-5% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
50% chance1.88
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.70
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.34fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Internacional de Bogota, full-time Internacional de Bogota
22% chance4.59fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.43fair

Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin prediction

Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin prediction, who wins and at what price

The Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Primera A on Thursday, 29 October 2026 gives Internacional de Bogota a 36% chance, Independiente Medellin 36% and the draw 29%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

The goal expectancy is 2.67 in total, split 1.34 to Internacional de Bogota and 1.33 to Independiente Medellin. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 50% and both teams to score 56%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Internacional de Bogota or Independiente Medellin (no draw) is the main selection, rated 71%. At 1.33 with 22Bet the market prices it at 75%, against 71% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Internacional de Bogota average 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Independiente Medellin 1.2 and 2.2 across 5.

How many goals in Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 50% and under 3.5 72%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 75% and over 2.5 at 50%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 50%, best priced 1.88 at Stake.

The chance of both teams scoring is 56%, built from Internacional de Bogota scoring in 74% of runs and Independiente Medellin in 74%; clean sheets come at 26% for Internacional de Bogota and 26% for Independiente Medellin.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.3%, then 1-0 at 9.3% and 0-1 at 9.2%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Internacional de Bogota, full-time Internacional de Bogota is the top combination at 22%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.

Every market for Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 36% / 29% / 36% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Internacional de Bogota to win36%3.28
Draw29%3.32
Independiente Medellin to win36%2.42
Internacional de Bogota, draw no bet50%fair 1.99
Independiente Medellin, draw no bet50%fair 2.01

Double chance

Internacional de Bogota or draw65%1.65
Independiente Medellin or draw64%1.37
Internacional de Bogota or Independiente Medellin (no draw)71%1.33

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.34
Over 2.5 goals50%2.01
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.58
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.52
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 3.94
Under 2.5 goals50%1.88
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.39

BTTS

Both teams to score56%1.70
Not both teams to score44%2.15

Halves

First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.96
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30

Team goals

Internacional de Bogota to score74%fair 1.36
Independiente Medellin to score74%fair 1.36
Internacional de Bogota clean sheet26%fair 3.79
Independiente Medellin clean sheet26%fair 3.82
Internacional de Bogota to win to nil24%fair 4.12
Independiente Medellin to win to nil24%fair 4.15

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.3%
1-09.3%
0-19.2%
2-18.3%
1-28.2%
0-06.9%

Half-time / full-time

Internacional de Bogota / Internacional de Bogota21.8%
Independiente Medellin / Independiente Medellin21.5%
Draw / Draw15.6%
Draw / Internacional de Bogota13.2%
Draw / Independiente Medellin13.1%

Questions about Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin

Who is favourite in Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin?

The model gives Internacional de Bogota the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 50%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin?

The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Internacional de Bogota find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Independiente Medellin in 74%.

When do Internacional de Bogota play Independiente Medellin?

Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin starts at 01:05 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Internacional de Bogota v Independiente MedellinInternacional de Bogota or Independiente Medellin (no draw), 71%
1.33Bet