Primera A
Atletico NacionalHomeWLWWW
Sat 7 Nov
Deportivo PereiraAwayDDWDW76168
Atletico Nacional winDrawDeportivo Pereira win
Atletico NacionalHomeWLWWWDeportivo PereiraAwayDDWDW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.92 2.33 : 0.59
- Favourite
- 76% Atletico Nacional
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 40% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
76%
Our prediction
Atletico Nacional to win
1.31fair
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw
92% chance1.08fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.80fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
60% chance1.67fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.27fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
15% chance6.85fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Atletico Nacional, full-time Atletico Nacional
53% chance1.90fair
Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira prediction
Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira prediction, who wins and at what price
Atletico Nacional host Deportivo Pereira on Saturday, 7 November 2026 in the Primera A, and the model has Atletico Nacional at 76%, the draw at 16% and Deportivo Pereira at 8%: that is the Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 2.33 for Atletico Nacional and 0.59 for Deportivo Pereira, a total of 2.92, which puts over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 40%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is atletico Nacional to win at 76%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
Atletico Nacional or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 92% chance.
With the draw down at 16%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Atletico Nacional average 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded across their last 5, Deportivo Pereira 1.0 and 0.4 across 5.
Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 79%, over 2.5 at 56%, over 3.5 at 34%; under 2.5 is 45% and under 3.5 is 67%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 40%, built from Atletico Nacional scoring in 90% of runs and Deportivo Pereira in 45%; clean sheets come at 55% for Atletico Nacional and 10% for Deportivo Pereira.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 14.6%, followed by 1-0 (12.6%) and 3-0 (11.4%).
With the top scoreline at 14.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Atletico Nacional, full-time Atletico Nacional is the top combination at 53%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.
Every market for Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira
The grid built from 2.33 and 0.59 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Atletico Nacional to win76%fair 1.31
Draw16%fair 6.29
Deportivo Pereira to win8%fair 12.99
Atletico Nacional, draw no bet91%fair 1.10
Deportivo Pereira, draw no bet9%fair 10.87
Double chance
Atletico Nacional or draw92%fair 1.08
Deportivo Pereira or draw24%fair 4.24
Atletico Nacional or Deportivo Pereira (no draw)84%fair 1.19
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.27
Over 2.5 goals56%fair 1.80
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.99
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.85
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.72
Under 2.5 goals45%fair 2.25
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.50
BTTS
Both teams to score40%fair 2.49
Not both teams to score60%fair 1.67
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.65
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25
Team goals
Atletico Nacional to score90%fair 1.11
Deportivo Pereira to score45%fair 2.24
Atletico Nacional clean sheet55%fair 1.81
Deportivo Pereira clean sheet10%fair 10.31
Atletico Nacional to win to nil51%fair 1.96
Deportivo Pereira to win to nil7%fair 14.08
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
2-014.6%
1-012.6%
3-011.4%
2-18.6%
1-17.4%
3-16.7%
Half-time / full-time
Atletico Nacional / Atletico Nacional52.5%
Draw / Atletico Nacional21.4%
Draw / Draw10.2%
Deportivo Pereira / Deportivo Pereira4%
Draw / Deportivo Pereira3.2%
Questions about Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira
Who is favourite in Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira?
The model gives Atletico Nacional the best chance at 76%, with the draw at 16%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 56%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira?
The BTTS yes line is rated 40%. Atletico Nacional find the net in 90% of simulated matches and Deportivo Pereira in 45%.
When do Atletico Nacional play Deportivo Pereira?
Kick-off is 23:10 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.