Primera A
Alianza ValleduparHomeDWWLL
Mon 9 Nov
LlanerosAwayLWLLW442828
Alianza Valledupar winDrawLlaneros win
Alianza ValleduparHomeDWWLLLlanerosAwayLWLLW- Kick-off Mon 9 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.37 1.35 : 1.02
- Favourite
- 44% Alianza Valledupar
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 48% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 2.14 | 3.25 | 3.29 | 2.12 | 1.66 | 1.86 | 1.84 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.18 | 3.05 | 3.20 | 2.16 | 1.63 | 1.85 | 1.79 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.14 | 3.25 | 3.29 | 2.12 | 1.66 | 1.86 | 1.84 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.14 | 3.25 | 3.29 | 2.12 | 1.66 | 1.86 | 1.84 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Alianza Valledupar to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros are 2.18 for Alianza Valledupar at BC.Game, 3.25 for the draw at 22Bet and 3.29 for Llaneros at 22Bet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 93.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.16 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 1.66 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.86 (22Bet) and no 1.84 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
72%
Our prediction
Alianza Valledupar or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.66
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.84
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.46fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Alianza Valledupar, full-time Alianza Valledupar
26% chance3.82fair
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.52fair
Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros prediction
Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros prediction, who wins and at what price
Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros prediction for the Primera A on Monday, 9 November 2026: the model makes Alianza Valledupar marginally ahead at 44%, with the draw at 28% and Llaneros at 28%.
Alianza Valledupar are expected to score 1.35 and Llaneros 1.02, so the total line is 2.37 goals; over 2.5 lands at 42% and BTTS at 48%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros is alianza Valledupar or draw, a 72% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.29 at Melbet, which implies 78%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros.
Form check: Alianza Valledupar have won 2 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 5 conceded, Llaneros 2 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 10.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 69%, over 2.5 at 42%, over 3.5 at 22%; under 2.5 is 58% and under 3.5 is 79%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.66 at 22Bet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 48%, built from Alianza Valledupar scoring in 74% of runs and Llaneros in 64%; clean sheets come at 36% for Alianza Valledupar and 26% for Llaneros.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros: 1-1 (12.9%), 1-0 (12.6%) and 0-1 (9.5%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Alianza Valledupar, full-time Alianza Valledupar leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 66%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Alianza Valledupar to win44%2.18
Draw28%3.25
Llaneros to win28%3.29
Alianza Valledupar, draw no bet61%fair 1.63
Llaneros, draw no bet39%fair 2.59
Double chance
Alianza Valledupar or draw72%1.29
Llaneros or draw56%1.63
Alianza Valledupar or Llaneros (no draw)72%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.46
Over 2.5 goals42%2.16
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.65
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 10.87
Under 1.5 goals32%fair 3.17
Under 2.5 goals58%1.66
Under 3.5 goals79%fair 1.27
BTTS
Both teams to score48%1.86
Not both teams to score52%1.84
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.46
Second-half goal73%fair 1.37
Team goals
Alianza Valledupar to score74%fair 1.35
Llaneros to score64%fair 1.56
Alianza Valledupar clean sheet36%fair 2.77
Llaneros clean sheet26%fair 3.86
Alianza Valledupar to win to nil33%fair 3.01
Llaneros to win to nil24%fair 4.18
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-112.9%
1-012.6%
0-19.5%
0-09.3%
2-18.7%
2-08.5%
Half-time / full-time
Alianza Valledupar / Alianza Valledupar26.2%
Draw / Draw17.8%
Draw / Alianza Valledupar16%
Llaneros / Llaneros15.8%
Draw / Llaneros11%
Questions about Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros
Who is favourite in Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros?
The model gives Alianza Valledupar the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 42% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros?
The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Alianza Valledupar find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Llaneros in 64%.
When is Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros and where is the result shown?
Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros starts at 01:15 UTC on Monday, 9 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.