Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar prediction

Our Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar prediction and pick

Deportivo Pasto are a narrow favourite in the Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar prediction, rated 57% to win this Primera A match on Tuesday, 20 October 2026. Alianza Valledupar sit at 17% and the draw at 26%.

Expected goals are 1.65 for Deportivo Pasto and 0.81 for Alianza Valledupar, a total of 2.46, which puts over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 46%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is deportivo Pasto to win at 57%. At 1.70 with 1xBet the market prices it at 59%, against 57% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, deportivo Pasto or draw covers 83% of outcomes at 1.15.

Deportivo Pasto average 0.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Alianza Valledupar 1.0 and 1.0 across 5.

A low-scoring Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar reads 70% for over 1.5, 45% for over 2.5 and 23% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 55%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; 1xBet pay 1.69.

Both teams to score is 46%: Deportivo Pasto find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Alianza Valledupar in 56%. Deportivo Pasto keep a clean sheet 45% of the time and Alianza Valledupar 19%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar: 1-0 (14.1%), 2-0 (11.6%) and 1-1 (11.4%).

With the top scoreline at 14.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Deportivo Pasto, full-time Deportivo Pasto leads at 36%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.