Deportes TolimaHomeDDLLL
Deportivo PastoAwayDLLWL
Deportes TolimaHomeDDLLL
Deportivo PastoAwayDLLWL| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.40 | 4.25 | 7.70 | 1.93 | 1.80 | 2.18 | 1.61 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Best 1X2 lines behind the Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto prediction: Deportes Tolima 1.40 (1xBet), draw 4.25 (1xBet), Deportivo Pasto 7.70 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 92.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.93 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.80 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.18 (1xBet) and no 1.61 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
Our prediction
Deportes Tolima are the clear favourite in the Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto prediction, rated 68% to win this Primera A match on Monday, 26 October 2026. Deportivo Pasto sit at 11% and the draw at 21%.
The goal expectancy is 2.60 in total, split 1.94 to Deportes Tolima and 0.66 to Deportivo Pasto. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 48% and both teams to score 42%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Deportes Tolima to win is the main selection, rated 68%. At 1.40 with 1xBet the market prices it at 71%, against 68% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, deportes Tolima or draw covers 89% of outcomes at 1.05.
The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Deportes Tolima average 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Deportivo Pasto 0.4 and 1.2 across 5.
On the goal lines Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto reads 73% for over 1.5, 48% for over 2.5 and 26% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 52%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 1xBet pay 1.80.
The chance of both teams scoring is 42%, built from Deportes Tolima scoring in 86% of runs and Deportivo Pasto in 48%; clean sheets come at 52% for Deportes Tolima and 14% for Deportivo Pasto.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto: 1-0 (14.4%), 2-0 (14%) and 1-1 (9.5%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Deportes Tolima, full-time Deportes Tolima leads at 44%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
The grid built from 1.94 and 0.66 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Deportes Tolima the best chance at 68%, with the draw at 21%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 48%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
The BTTS yes line is rated 42%. Deportes Tolima find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Deportivo Pasto in 48%.
Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto starts at 01:15 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.