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Live 12 UTC
Primera A Clausura - 16 Monday, 26 October 2026 FT
Deportes TolimaHomeDDLLL
0:1Half-time 0:1
Deportivo PastoAwayDLLWL
682111
Deportes Tolima winDrawDeportivo Pasto win
Kick-off
Mon 26 Oct
Expected goals
2.60
1.94 : 0.66
Favourite
68%
Deportes Tolima
Over 2.5 goals
48%
model chance
Both teams to score
42%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.404.257.701.931.802.181.61Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Deportes Tolima to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto prediction: Deportes Tolima 1.40 (1xBet), draw 4.25 (1xBet), Deportivo Pasto 7.70 (1xBet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 92.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.93 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.80 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.18 (1xBet) and no 1.61 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

68%

Our prediction

Deportes Tolima to win
BankerExpected goals 1.94 : 0.66-5.1% against the best price
Double chanceDeportes Tolima or draw
89% chance1.05
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.80
BTTSNot both teams to score
58% chance1.61
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance6.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Deportes Tolima, full-time Deportes Tolima
44% chance2.27fair

Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto prediction

Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto prediction, who wins and at what price

Deportes Tolima are the clear favourite in the Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto prediction, rated 68% to win this Primera A match on Monday, 26 October 2026. Deportivo Pasto sit at 11% and the draw at 21%.

The goal expectancy is 2.60 in total, split 1.94 to Deportes Tolima and 0.66 to Deportivo Pasto. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 48% and both teams to score 42%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Deportes Tolima to win is the main selection, rated 68%. At 1.40 with 1xBet the market prices it at 71%, against 68% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, deportes Tolima or draw covers 89% of outcomes at 1.05.

The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Deportes Tolima average 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Deportivo Pasto 0.4 and 1.2 across 5.

Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

On the goal lines Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto reads 73% for over 1.5, 48% for over 2.5 and 26% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 52%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 1xBet pay 1.80.

The chance of both teams scoring is 42%, built from Deportes Tolima scoring in 86% of runs and Deportivo Pasto in 48%; clean sheets come at 52% for Deportes Tolima and 14% for Deportivo Pasto.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto: 1-0 (14.4%), 2-0 (14%) and 1-1 (9.5%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Deportes Tolima, full-time Deportes Tolima leads at 44%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto

The grid built from 1.94 and 0.66 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Deportes Tolima to win68%1.40
Draw21%4.25
Deportivo Pasto to win11%7.70
Deportes Tolima, draw no bet86%fair 1.17
Deportivo Pasto, draw no bet14%fair 7.04

Double chance

Deportes Tolima or draw89%1.05
Deportivo Pasto or draw32%2.74
Deportes Tolima or Deportivo Pasto (no draw)79%1.18

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%1.93
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.79
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.13
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.75
Under 2.5 goals52%1.80
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.36

BTTS

Both teams to score42%2.18
Not both teams to score58%1.61

Halves

First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.06
Second-half goal76%fair 1.31

Team goals

Deportes Tolima to score86%fair 1.17
Deportivo Pasto to score48%fair 2.07
Deportes Tolima clean sheet52%fair 1.93
Deportivo Pasto clean sheet14%fair 6.94
Deportes Tolima to win to nil48%fair 2.10
Deportivo Pasto to win to nil10%fair 9.71

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-014.4%
2-014%
1-19.5%
2-19.2%
3-09%
0-07.4%

Half-time / full-time

Deportes Tolima / Deportes Tolima44.1%
Draw / Deportes Tolima21.1%
Draw / Draw13.5%
Deportivo Pasto / Deportivo Pasto6.2%
Draw / Deportivo Pasto5%

Questions about Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto

Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?

The model gives Deportes Tolima the best chance at 68%, with the draw at 21%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What is the correct score prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 48%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 42%. Deportes Tolima find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Deportivo Pasto in 48%.

When do Deportes Tolima play Deportivo Pasto?

Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto starts at 01:15 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Deportes Tolima v Deportivo PastoDeportes Tolima to win, 68%
1.40Bet