Uruguay Primera División
Liverpool MontevideoHomeDWWWW
2:0Half-time 2:0
JuventudAwayWLDWL442828
Liverpool Montevideo winDrawJuventud win
Liverpool MontevideoHomeDWWWWJuventudAwayWLDWL- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.53 1.44 : 1.09
- Favourite
- 44% Liverpool Montevideo
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.04 | 3.18 | 3.32 | 1.95 | 1.73 | 1.77 | 1.92 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.10 | 3.18 | 3.59 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 1.87 | 1.87 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.02 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.02 | 1.73 | 1.78 | 1.88 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.04 | 3.18 | 3.78 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 1.87 | 1.87 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.04 | 3.18 | 3.78 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 1.87 | 1.87 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Liverpool Montevideo to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud are 2.10 for Liverpool Montevideo at 22Bet, 3.30 for the draw at BC.Game and 3.78 for Juventud at Melbet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.8%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.11 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.73 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.87 (Melbet) and no 1.92 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
72%
Our prediction
Liverpool Montevideo or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.73
BTTSBoth teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance8.00fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Liverpool Montevideo, full-time Liverpool Montevideo
27% chance3.70fairWon
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.47fairWon
Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud odds movement
Liverpool Montevideo win2.10-0.08
Draw3.30-0.10
Juventud win3.78unchanged
Over 2.5 goals2.11unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.73-0.10
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud prediction
Our Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud prediction and pick
Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud prediction for the Uruguay Primera División on Sunday, 1 November 2026: the model makes Liverpool Montevideo marginally ahead at 44%, with the draw at 28% and Juventud at 28%.
Expected goals are 1.44 for Liverpool Montevideo and 1.09 for Juventud, a total of 2.53, which puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 52%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud is liverpool Montevideo or draw, a 72% chance. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.26. That price implies 79%, 7 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud.
Form check: Liverpool Montevideo have won 4 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 1 conceded, Juventud 2 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 4.
How many goals in Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud reads 72% for over 1.5, 46% for over 2.5 and 25% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 54%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; 1xBet pay 1.73.
The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Liverpool Montevideo scoring in 76% of runs and Juventud in 66%; clean sheets come at 34% for Liverpool Montevideo and 24% for Juventud.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud: 1-1 (12.5%), 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Liverpool Montevideo, full-time Liverpool Montevideo is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.
All markets, Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud
The grid built from 1.44 and 1.09 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Liverpool Montevideo to win44%2.10
Draw28%3.30
Juventud to win28%3.78
Liverpool Montevideo, draw no bet61%fair 1.63
Juventud, draw no bet39%fair 2.59
Double chance
Liverpool Montevideo or draw72%1.26
Juventud or draw56%1.73
Liverpool Montevideo or Juventud (no draw)72%1.32
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%2.11
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 4.02
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.85
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.56
Under 2.5 goals54%1.73
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.33
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.87
Not both teams to score48%1.92
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.17
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
Liverpool Montevideo to score76%fair 1.31
Juventud to score66%fair 1.51
Liverpool Montevideo clean sheet34%fair 2.98
Juventud clean sheet24%fair 4.22
Liverpool Montevideo to win to nil31%fair 3.24
Juventud to win to nil22%fair 4.59
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.5%
1-011.5%
2-19%
0-18.7%
2-08.3%
0-08%
Half-time / full-time
Liverpool Montevideo / Liverpool Montevideo27%
Draw / Draw16.4%
Juventud / Juventud16.1%
Draw / Liverpool Montevideo15.8%
Draw / Juventud10.8%
Questions about Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud
Who is favourite in Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?
The model gives Liverpool Montevideo the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 46% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Liverpool Montevideo find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Juventud in 66%.
When do Liverpool Montevideo play Juventud?
Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud starts at 23:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.