Uruguay Primera División
Club NacionalHomeWWWLW
0:1Half-time 0:1
Liverpool MontevideoAwayDWWWW462727
Club Nacional winDrawLiverpool Montevideo win
Club NacionalHomeWWWLWLiverpool MontevideoAwayDWWWW- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.55 1.48 : 1.07
- Favourite
- 46% Club Nacional
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 2 in the odds table
Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.96 | 3.26 | 3.46 | 1.92 | 1.76 | 1.76 | 1.94 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.81 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.97 | 1.76 | 1.83 | 1.83 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Club Nacional to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Club Nacional price at 1.96, BC.Game lead the draw at 3.50 and BC.Game have Liverpool Montevideo longest at 4.00.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.97 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 1.76 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.83 (BC.Game) and no 1.94 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
74%
Our prediction
Club Nacional or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.76
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.83
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.06fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Club Nacional, full-time Club Nacional
28% chance3.57fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.46fair
Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction
Our Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction and pick
Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction for the Uruguay Primera División on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes Club Nacional marginally ahead at 46%, with the draw at 27% and Liverpool Montevideo at 27%.
The goal expectancy is 2.55 in total, split 1.48 to Club Nacional and 1.07 to Liverpool Montevideo. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 47% and both teams to score 52%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Club Nacional or draw is the main selection, rated 74%. At 1.22 with 1xBet the market prices it at 82%, against 74% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo.
Form check: Club Nacional have won 4 of their last 5 with 9 scored and 4 conceded, Liverpool Montevideo 4 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 1.
Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
On the goal lines Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo reads 72% for over 1.5, 47% for over 2.5 and 25% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 53%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; BC.Game pay 1.76.
Both teams to score is 52%: Club Nacional find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Liverpool Montevideo in 66%. Club Nacional keep a clean sheet 34% of the time and Liverpool Montevideo 23%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo: 1-1 (12.4%), 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.2%).
With the top scoreline at 12.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Club Nacional, full-time Club Nacional is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.
All markets, Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Club Nacional to win46%1.96
Draw27%3.50
Liverpool Montevideo to win27%4.00
Club Nacional, draw no bet64%fair 1.57
Liverpool Montevideo, draw no bet37%fair 2.74
Double chance
Club Nacional or draw74%1.22
Liverpool Montevideo or draw54%1.87
Club Nacional or Liverpool Montevideo (no draw)73%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals47%1.97
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 3.95
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.62
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.61
Under 2.5 goals53%1.76
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.34
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.83
Not both teams to score48%1.94
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.14
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
Club Nacional to score77%fair 1.30
Liverpool Montevideo to score66%fair 1.52
Club Nacional clean sheet34%fair 2.92
Liverpool Montevideo clean sheet23%fair 4.39
Club Nacional to win to nil32%fair 3.16
Liverpool Montevideo to win to nil21%fair 4.78
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.4%
1-011.6%
2-19.2%
2-08.6%
0-18.4%
0-07.8%
Half-time / full-time
Club Nacional / Club Nacional28%
Draw / Draw16.2%
Draw / Club Nacional16.2%
Liverpool Montevideo / Liverpool Montevideo15.4%
Draw / Liverpool Montevideo10.4%
Questions about Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo
Who will win Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo?
The model gives Club Nacional the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 47% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Club Nacional find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Liverpool Montevideo in 66%.
When is Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 22:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.