Copa Uruguay
Liverpool MontevideoHomeDWWWW
1:0Half-time 0:0
Cerro LargoAwayLDLWL482725
Liverpool Montevideo winDrawCerro Largo win
Liverpool MontevideoHomeDWWWWCerro LargoAwayLDLWL- Kick-off Wed 21 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.40 1.45 : 0.95
- Favourite
- 48% Liverpool Montevideo
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 49% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.95 | 3.14 | 3.60 | 2.12 | 1.62 | 1.87 | 1.80 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Liverpool Montevideo to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Liverpool Montevideo price at 1.95, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.14 and 1xBet have Cerro Largo longest at 3.60.
The best-price payout across the three results is 90.2%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.12 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.62 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.87 (1xBet) and no 1.80 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
76%
Our prediction
Liverpool Montevideo or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.62
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.80
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.45fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Liverpool Montevideo, full-time Liverpool Montevideo
29% chance3.41fair
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.52fair
Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo prediction
Our Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo prediction and pick
Liverpool Montevideo are a narrow favourite in the Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo prediction, rated 48% to win this Copa Uruguay match on Wednesday, 21 October 2026. Cerro Largo sit at 24% and the draw at 27%.
The goal expectancy is 2.40 in total, split 1.45 to Liverpool Montevideo and 0.95 to Cerro Largo. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 42% and both teams to score 49%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Liverpool Montevideo or draw is the main selection, rated 76%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.20. That price implies 83%, 8 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Liverpool Montevideo stand at 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Cerro Largo show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 69%, over 2.5 at 42%, over 3.5 at 22%; under 2.5 is 58% and under 3.5 is 78%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 1xBet pay 1.62.
BTTS yes stands at 49%. Liverpool Montevideo score in 77% of simulations against a 24% clean sheet for Cerro Largo; Cerro Largo score in 61% while Liverpool Montevideo shut them out 39% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo: 1-0 (13.2%), 1-1 (12.5%) and 2-0 (9.5%).
With the top scoreline at 13.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Liverpool Montevideo, full-time Liverpool Montevideo is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 66%.
Every market rated for Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Liverpool Montevideo to win48%1.95
Draw27%3.14
Cerro Largo to win24%3.60
Liverpool Montevideo, draw no bet67%fair 1.50
Cerro Largo, draw no bet34%fair 2.99
Double chance
Liverpool Montevideo or draw76%1.20
Cerro Largo or draw52%1.68
Liverpool Montevideo or Cerro Largo (no draw)73%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.45
Over 2.5 goals42%2.12
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.52
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.42
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.25
Under 2.5 goals58%1.62
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.28
BTTS
Both teams to score49%1.87
Not both teams to score52%1.80
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.40
Second-half goal73%fair 1.36
Team goals
Liverpool Montevideo to score77%fair 1.31
Cerro Largo to score61%fair 1.63
Liverpool Montevideo clean sheet39%fair 2.58
Cerro Largo clean sheet24%fair 4.26
Liverpool Montevideo to win to nil36%fair 2.81
Cerro Largo to win to nil22%fair 4.63
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-013.2%
1-112.5%
2-09.5%
0-09.1%
2-19.1%
0-18.6%
Half-time / full-time
Liverpool Montevideo / Liverpool Montevideo29.3%
Draw / Draw17.2%
Draw / Liverpool Montevideo17.2%
Cerro Largo / Cerro Largo13.6%
Draw / Cerro Largo9.7%
Questions about Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo
Who is favourite in Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
The model gives Liverpool Montevideo the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 42%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Liverpool Montevideo find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Cerro Largo in 61%.
When is Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo and where is the result shown?
Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo starts at 19:00 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.