Copa Uruguay
Nacional FloridaHomeL
0:2Half-time 0:1
JuventudAwayWLDWL91675
Nacional Florida winDrawJuventud win
Nacional FloridaHomeLJuventudAwayWLDWL- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.95 0.64 : 2.31
- Favourite
- 75% Juventud
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 44% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Nacional Florida vs Juventud odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 11.80 | 4.75 | 1.23 | 1.60 | 2.15 | 2.06 | 1.65 | Bet |
 22Bet | 9.03 | 5.05 | 1.32 | 1.63 | 2.20 | 2.28 | 1.59 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 9.03 | 5.05 | 1.32 | 1.63 | 2.20 | 2.28 | 1.59 | Bet |
 Melbet | 9.03 | 5.05 | 1.32 | 1.63 | 2.20 | 2.28 | 1.59 | Bet |
 Stake | 9.20 | 5.20 | 1.29 | 1.57 | 2.21 | 1.98 | 1.71 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Juventud to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Nacional Florida vs Juventud are 11.80 for Nacional Florida at 1xBet, 5.20 for the draw at Stake and 1.32 for Juventud at 22Bet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 96.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.63 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.21 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 2.28 (22Bet) and no 1.71 (Stake).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
75%
Our prediction
Juventud to win
Double chanceJuventud or draw
91% chance1.04
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.63
BTTSNot both teams to score
56% chance1.71
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.26fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-2
14% chance7.14fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Juventud, full-time Juventud
51% chance1.95fair
Nacional Florida vs Juventud prediction
Our Nacional Florida vs Juventud prediction and pick
Nacional Florida vs Juventud prediction for the Copa Uruguay on Wednesday, 28 October 2026: the model makes Juventud the clear favourite at 75%, with the draw at 16% and Nacional Florida at 9%.
The goal expectancy is 2.95 in total, split 0.64 to Nacional Florida and 2.31 to Juventud. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 56% and both teams to score 44%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Nacional Florida vs Juventud is juventud to win, a 75% chance. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.32. That price implies 76%, 1 points over the model figure.
For a safer line, juventud or draw covers 91% of outcomes at 1.04.
The draw sits at only 16%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
How many goals in Nacional Florida vs Juventud? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 79%, over 2.5 at 56%, over 3.5 at 34%; under 2.5 is 44% and under 3.5 is 66%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 22Bet pay 1.63.
BTTS yes stands at 44%. Nacional Florida score in 47% of simulations against a 53% clean sheet for Juventud; Juventud score in 90% while Nacional Florida shut them out 10% of the time.
Correct score: 0-2 leads at 14%, then 0-1 at 12.1% and 0-3 at 10.8%.
With the top scoreline at 14%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Nacional Florida vs Juventud; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Juventud, full-time Juventud leads at 51%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Nacional Florida vs Juventud
The grid built from 0.64 and 2.31 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Nacional Florida to win9%11.80
Draw16%5.20
Juventud to win75%1.32
Nacional Florida, draw no bet11%fair 9.35
Juventud, draw no bet89%fair 1.12
Double chance
Nacional Florida or draw25%3.39
Juventud or draw91%1.04
Nacional Florida or Juventud (no draw)84%1.15
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.63
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.93
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.68
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.83
Under 2.5 goals44%2.21
Under 3.5 goals66%fair 1.52
BTTS
Both teams to score44%2.28
Not both teams to score56%1.71
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.61
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25
Team goals
Nacional Florida to score47%fair 2.11
Juventud to score90%fair 1.11
Nacional Florida clean sheet10%fair 10.10
Juventud clean sheet53%fair 1.90
Nacional Florida to win to nil8%fair 12.05
Juventud to win to nil49%fair 2.06
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
0-214%
0-112.1%
0-310.8%
1-28.9%
1-17.7%
1-36.9%
Half-time / full-time
Juventud / Juventud51.2%
Draw / Juventud21.1%
Draw / Draw10.4%
Nacional Florida / Nacional Florida4.5%
Draw / Nacional Florida3.6%
Questions about Nacional Florida vs Juventud
Who will win Nacional Florida vs Juventud?
The model gives Juventud the best chance at 75%, with the draw at 16%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Nacional Florida vs Juventud?
0-2 is the most likely scoreline at 14%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 56% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Nacional Florida vs Juventud?
The BTTS yes line is rated 44%. Nacional Florida find the net in 47% of simulated matches and Juventud in 90%.
What time does Nacional Florida vs Juventud kick off?
Nacional Florida vs Juventud starts at 19:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.