Uruguay Primera División
CerroHomeLWDLL
1:2Half-time 0:1
Central EspanolAwayLLLLW433027
Cerro winDrawCentral Espanol win
CerroHomeLWDLLCentral EspanolAwayLLLLW- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.26 1.29 : 0.97
- Favourite
- 43% Cerro
- Over 2.5 goals
- 39% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 47% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Cerro vs Central Espanol
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.19 | 2.95 | 3.22 | 2.29 | 1.53 | 1.97 | 1.73 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.30 | 3.14 | 3.14 | 2.31 | 1.57 | 2.02 | 1.74 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.25 | 2.28 | 1.57 | 1.93 | 1.74 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.18 | 2.99 | 3.21 | 2.31 | 1.57 | 1.95 | 1.74 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.30 | 3.14 | 3.14 | 2.31 | 1.57 | 2.02 | 1.74 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Cerro to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Cerro vs Central Espanol prediction: Cerro 2.30 (22Bet), draw 3.14 (22Bet), Central Espanol 3.25 (BC.Game).
The best-price payout across the three results is 94.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.31 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.57 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.02 (22Bet) and no 1.74 (Betwinner).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
73%
Our prediction
Cerro or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
61% chance1.57
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
66% chance1.52fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance7.41fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Cerro, full-time Cerro
26% chance3.88fair
First halfFirst-half goal
64% chance1.57fair
Cerro vs Central Espanol prediction
Cerro vs Central Espanol prediction, who wins and at what price
Cerro vs Central Espanol prediction for the Uruguay Primera División on Saturday, 31 October 2026: the model makes Cerro marginally ahead at 43%, with the draw at 30% and Central Espanol at 27%.
The goal expectancy is 2.26 in total, split 1.29 to Cerro and 0.97 to Central Espanol. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 39% and both teams to score 47%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Cerro or draw is the main selection, rated 73%. The best price in our comparison is 1.33 at 22Bet, which implies 75%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Cerro vs Central Espanol.
A 30% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Form check: Cerro have won 1 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 10 conceded, Central Espanol 1 of 5 scoring 3 and conceding 12.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Cerro vs Central Espanol
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 66%, over 2.5 at 39%, over 3.5 at 19%; under 2.5 is 61% and under 3.5 is 81%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 61%; BC.Game pay 1.57.
BTTS yes stands at 47%. Cerro score in 73% of simulations against a 28% clean sheet for Central Espanol; Central Espanol score in 62% while Cerro shut them out 38% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Cerro vs Central Espanol: 1-0 (13.5%), 1-1 (13.1%) and 0-0 (10.4%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Cerro, full-time Cerro is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 64%.
Every market rated for Cerro vs Central Espanol
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 43% / 30% / 27% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Cerro to win43%2.30
Draw30%3.14
Central Espanol to win27%3.25
Cerro, draw no bet61%fair 1.64
Central Espanol, draw no bet39%fair 2.57
Double chance
Cerro or draw73%1.33
Central Espanol or draw57%1.59
Cerro or Central Espanol (no draw)70%1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.12
Over 1.5 goals66%fair 1.52
Over 2.5 goals39%2.31
Over 3.5 goals19%fair 5.18
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 12.66
Under 1.5 goals34%fair 2.94
Under 2.5 goals61%1.57
Under 3.5 goals81%fair 1.24
BTTS
Both teams to score47%2.02
Not both teams to score53%1.74
Halves
First-half goal64%fair 1.57
Over 1.5 first-half goals27%fair 3.70
Second-half goal71%fair 1.41
Team goals
Cerro to score73%fair 1.38
Central Espanol to score62%fair 1.61
Cerro clean sheet38%fair 2.64
Central Espanol clean sheet28%fair 3.64
Cerro to win to nil35%fair 2.87
Central Espanol to win to nil25%fair 3.98
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-013.5%
1-113.1%
0-010.4%
0-110.1%
2-08.7%
2-18.4%
Half-time / full-time
Cerro / Cerro25.8%
Draw / Draw18.8%
Draw / Cerro16.1%
Central Espanol / Central Espanol15.5%
Draw / Central Espanol11.1%
Questions about Cerro vs Central Espanol
Cerro or Central Espanol: which side does the model back?
The model gives Cerro the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 30%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Cerro vs Central Espanol?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 39% backs the same picture with less variance.
Cerro vs Central Espanol both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. Cerro find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Central Espanol in 62%.
When is Cerro vs Central Espanol and where is the result shown?
Cerro vs Central Espanol starts at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.