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Live 23 UTC
Uruguay Primera División Clausura - 13 Saturday, 31 October 2026 FT
PenarolHomeDLDLD
1:1Half-time 0:0
WanderersAwayDLLLD
622315
Penarol winDrawWanderers win
Kick-off
Sat 31 Oct
Expected goals
2.51
1.77 : 0.74
Favourite
62%
Penarol
Over 2.5 goals
46%
model chance
Both teams to score
44%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Penarol vs Wanderers betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.473.806.131.961.722.051.67Bet
22Bet1.544.065.732.111.732.111.68Bet
BC.Game1.523.856.001.991.752.021.67Bet
Betwinner1.544.065.732.111.732.111.68Bet
Melbet1.473.806.131.961.722.051.67Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Penarol to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Penarol vs Wanderers prediction: Penarol 1.54 (Betwinner), draw 4.06 (Betwinner), Wanderers 6.13 (Melbet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.11 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.75 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.11 (Betwinner) and no 1.68 (Betwinner).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

62%

Our prediction

Penarol to win
StrongExpected goals 1.77 : 0.74-4.7% against the best price
Double chancePenarol or draw
85% chance1.12
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.75
BTTSNot both teams to score
56% chance1.68
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.40fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance6.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Penarol, full-time Penarol
39% chance2.54fair

Penarol vs Wanderers prediction

Our Penarol vs Wanderers prediction and pick

The Penarol vs Wanderers prediction leans to Penarol: 62% against 15% for Wanderers, with 23% left for the draw, in the Uruguay Primera División on Saturday, 31 October 2026.

Penarol are expected to score 1.77 and Wanderers 0.74, so the total line is 2.51 goals; over 2.5 lands at 46% and BTTS at 44%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Penarol to win is the main selection, rated 62%. At 1.54 with Betwinner the market prices it at 65%, against 62% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Penarol vs Wanderers.

For a safer line, penarol or draw covers 85% of outcomes at 1.12.

Form check: Penarol have won 0 of their last 5 with 2 scored and 5 conceded, Wanderers 0 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 10.

Penarol vs Wanderers goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

On the goal lines Penarol vs Wanderers reads 72% for over 1.5, 46% for over 2.5 and 25% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 54%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.75 at BC.Game.

Both teams to score is 44%: Penarol find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Wanderers in 52%. Penarol keep a clean sheet 48% of the time and Wanderers 17%.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 14.4%, then 2-0 at 12.7% and 1-1 at 10.6%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 14.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Penarol, full-time Penarol leads at 39%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Penarol vs Wanderers

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 62% / 23% / 15% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Penarol to win62%1.54
Draw23%4.06
Wanderers to win15%6.13
Penarol, draw no bet81%fair 1.24
Wanderers, draw no bet19%fair 5.15

Double chance

Penarol or draw85%1.12
Wanderers or draw38%2.38
Penarol or Wanderers (no draw)77%1.21

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.40
Over 2.5 goals46%2.11
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 4.08
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.09
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.51
Under 2.5 goals54%1.75
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.32

BTTS

Both teams to score44%2.11
Not both teams to score56%1.68

Halves

First-half goal68%fair 1.48
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.21
Second-half goal75%fair 1.34

Team goals

Penarol to score83%fair 1.20
Wanderers to score52%fair 1.91
Penarol clean sheet48%fair 2.10
Wanderers clean sheet17%fair 5.88
Penarol to win to nil44%fair 2.28
Wanderers to win to nil14%fair 7.30

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-014.4%
2-012.7%
1-110.6%
2-19.4%
0-08.1%
3-07.5%

Half-time / full-time

Penarol / Penarol39.3%
Draw / Penarol20.2%
Draw / Draw15%
Wanderers / Wanderers8.1%
Draw / Wanderers6.3%

Questions about Penarol vs Wanderers

Penarol or Wanderers: which side does the model back?

The model gives Penarol the best chance at 62%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Penarol vs Wanderers?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 46% backs the same picture with less variance.

Penarol vs Wanderers both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 44%. Penarol find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Wanderers in 52%.

When do Penarol play Wanderers?

Penarol vs Wanderers starts at 19:30 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Penarol v WanderersPenarol to win, 62%
1.54Bet