Eredivisie Round 9 Saturday, 17 October 2026 FT

Sparta RotterdamHomeDWLDW

3:2Half-time 1:1

Willem IIAwayLLLWL

622018

Sparta Rotterdam winDrawWillem II win

Kick-off: 19:00
Expected goals: 3.39
Favourite: 62%
Over 2.5 goals: 65%
Both teams to score: 62%
Prices compared: 1

Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II odds comparison

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5	BTTS yes	BTTS no
1xBet	1.61	4.44	5.11	1.43	2.46	1.52	2.37	Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Sparta Rotterdam to win partner prices

1xBetBest price1.61Bet now

The top 1X2 prices for Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II are 1.61 for Sparta Rotterdam at 1xBet, 4.44 for the draw at 1xBet and 5.11 for Willem II at 1xBet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.43 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.46 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.52 (1xBet) and no 2.37 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

62%

Our prediction

Sparta Rotterdam to win

BankerExpected goals 2.25 : 1.14-0% against the best price

1.611xBet Bet at 1xBet

Double chanceSparta Rotterdam or draw

82% chance1.18

Goal lineOver 2.5 goals

65% chance1.43

BTTSBoth teams to score

62% chance1.52

Goal lineOver 1.5 goals

85% chance1.17fair

ScorelineCorrect score 2-1

10% chance10.31fair

Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sparta Rotterdam, full-time Sparta Rotterdam

41% chance2.44fair

Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II prediction

Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II prediction, who wins and at what price

Sparta Rotterdam host Willem II on Saturday, 17 October 2026 in the Eredivisie, and the model has Sparta Rotterdam at 62%, the draw at 20% and Willem II at 18%: that is the Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 3.39 in total, split 2.25 to Sparta Rotterdam and 1.14 to Willem II. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 65% and both teams to score 62%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is sparta Rotterdam to win at 62%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.61. That price implies 62%, 0 points over the model figure.

For a safer line, sparta Rotterdam or draw covers 82% of outcomes at 1.18.

With the draw down at 20%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Sparta Rotterdam stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Willem II show 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in 5.

Goals forecast for Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 35% and under 3.5 56%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 85% and over 2.5 at 65%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 65%, best priced 1.43 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 62%: Sparta Rotterdam find the net in 90% of simulated matches and Willem II in 68%. Sparta Rotterdam keep a clean sheet 32% of the time and Willem II 11%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9.7%, then 1-1 at 8.6% and 2-0 at 8.5%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sparta Rotterdam, full-time Sparta Rotterdam leads at 41%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Sparta Rotterdam to win62%1.61

Draw20%4.44

Willem II to win18%5.11

Sparta Rotterdam, draw no bet78%fair 1.29

Willem II, draw no bet22%fair 4.50

Double chance

Sparta Rotterdam or draw82%1.18

Willem II or draw38%2.38

Sparta Rotterdam or Willem II (no draw)80%1.22

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.04

Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.17

Over 2.5 goals65%1.43

Over 3.5 goals44%fair 2.28

Over 4.5 goals25%fair 3.94

Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.76

Under 2.5 goals35%2.46

Under 3.5 goals56%fair 1.78

BTTS

Both teams to score62%1.52

Not both teams to score39%2.37

Halves

First-half goal78%fair 1.28

Over 1.5 first-half goals45%fair 2.22

Second-half goal85%fair 1.18

Team goals

Sparta Rotterdam to score90%fair 1.12

Willem II to score68%fair 1.47

Sparta Rotterdam clean sheet32%fair 3.13

Willem II clean sheet11%fair 9.52

Sparta Rotterdam to win to nil29%fair 3.40

Willem II to win to nil10%fair 10.31

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00

Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-19.7%

1-18.6%

2-08.5%

1-07.6%

3-17.3%

3-06.4%

Half-time / full-time

Sparta Rotterdam / Sparta Rotterdam41%

Draw / Sparta Rotterdam17.7%

Draw / Draw10.4%

Willem II / Willem II10.2%

Draw / Willem II6.5%

Questions about Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II

Sparta Rotterdam or Willem II: which side does the model back?

The model gives Sparta Rotterdam the best chance at 62%, with the draw at 20%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What is the correct score prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 65%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?

The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Sparta Rotterdam find the net in 90% of simulated matches and Willem II in 68%.

What time does Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II kick off?

Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Sparta Rotterdam v Willem IISparta Rotterdam to win, 62%

1.61 Bet