Eredivisie
Round 10 Sunday, 25 October 2026
FT
Sparta RotterdamHomeDWLDW
1:2Half-time 1:2
AjaxAwayLWWWW151768
Sparta Rotterdam winDrawAjax win
Eredivisie
Round 10 Sunday, 25 October 2026
FT
Sparta RotterdamHomeDWLDWAjaxAwayLWWWW- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.94 1.23 : 2.71
- Favourite
- 69% Ajax
- Over 2.5 goals
- 74% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 67% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 5.99 | 5.06 | 1.48 | 1.35 | 3.08 | 1.46 | 2.53 | Bet |
 22Bet | 6.00 | 4.72 | 1.48 | 1.39 | 3.00 | 1.52 | 2.54 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 5.40 | 4.70 | 1.47 | 1.37 | 2.88 | 1.49 | 2.48 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 6.00 | 4.72 | 1.48 | 1.39 | 3.00 | 1.52 | 2.54 | Bet |
 Melbet | 6.00 | 4.72 | 1.48 | 1.39 | 3.00 | 1.52 | 2.54 | Bet |
 Stake | 5.40 | 4.90 | 1.50 | 1.35 | 3.05 | 1.48 | 2.48 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Ajax to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax are 6.00 for Sparta Rotterdam at Melbet, 5.06 for the draw at 1xBet and 1.50 for Ajax at Stake.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 97%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.39 (22Bet) and under 2.5 3.08 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.52 (22Bet) and no 2.54 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
69%
Our prediction
Ajax to win
Double chanceAjax or draw
85% chance1.15
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
74% chance1.39
BTTSBoth teams to score
67% chance1.52
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
90% chance1.11fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
9% chance11.36fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Ajax, full-time Ajax
47% chance2.13fair
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax prediction
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax prediction, who wins and at what price
Ajax are the clear favourite in the Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax prediction, rated 69% to win this Eredivisie match on Sunday, 25 October 2026. Sparta Rotterdam sit at 15% and the draw at 17%.
The goal expectancy is 3.94 in total, split 1.23 to Sparta Rotterdam and 2.71 to Ajax. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 74% and both teams to score 67%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax is ajax to win, a 69% chance. Stake offer the top price at 1.50. That price implies 67%, 2 points under the model figure.
Ajax or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 85% chance, priced 1.15.
The draw sits at only 17%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Sparta Rotterdam average 2.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last 5, Ajax 2.2 and 1.0 across 5.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax reads 90% for over 1.5, 74% for over 2.5 and 55% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 26%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 74%; 22Bet pay 1.39.
The chance of both teams scoring is 67%, built from Sparta Rotterdam scoring in 71% of runs and Ajax in 93%; clean sheets come at 7% for Sparta Rotterdam and 29% for Ajax.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax: 1-2 (8.8%), 1-3 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.1%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Ajax, full-time Ajax is the top combination at 47%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 83%.
Every market rated for Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 15% / 17% / 69% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Sparta Rotterdam to win15%6.00
Draw17%5.06
Ajax to win69%1.50
Sparta Rotterdam, draw no bet18%fair 5.62
Ajax, draw no bet82%fair 1.22
Double chance
Sparta Rotterdam or draw32%2.74
Ajax or draw85%1.15
Sparta Rotterdam or Ajax (no draw)83%1.19
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 2.5 goals74%1.39
Over 3.5 goals55%fair 1.81
Over 4.5 goals36%fair 2.79
Under 1.5 goals10%fair 10.31
Under 2.5 goals26%3.08
Under 3.5 goals45%fair 2.24
BTTS
Both teams to score67%1.52
Not both teams to score34%2.54
Halves
First-half goal83%fair 1.20
Over 1.5 first-half goals53%fair 1.89
Second-half goal89%fair 1.13
Team goals
Sparta Rotterdam to score71%fair 1.41
Ajax to score93%fair 1.07
Sparta Rotterdam clean sheet7%fair 14.93
Ajax clean sheet29%fair 3.42
Sparta Rotterdam to win to nil6%fair 16.39
Ajax to win to nil27%fair 3.72
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-28.8%
1-37.9%
0-27.1%
1-16.5%
0-36.5%
2-25.4%
Half-time / full-time
Ajax / Ajax47%
Draw / Ajax17.3%
Sparta Rotterdam / Sparta Rotterdam8.4%
Draw / Draw8%
Draw / Sparta Rotterdam5.2%
Questions about Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax
Who is favourite in Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax?
The model gives Ajax the best chance at 69%, with the draw at 17%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax correct score: what does the model say?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 8.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 74%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 67%. Sparta Rotterdam find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Ajax in 93%.
When is Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax and where is the result shown?
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax starts at 15:45 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.