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Eredivisie Round 9 Saturday, 17 October 2026 FT
ADO Den HaagHomeDWLDL
2:1Half-time 0:1
PSV EindhovenAwayLLWDW
101377
ADO Den Haag winDrawPSV Eindhoven win
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct
Expected goals
4.16
1.07 : 3.09
Favourite
77%
PSV Eindhoven
Over 2.5 goals
77%
model chance
Both teams to score
62%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet9.406.621.271.233.421.522.37Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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PSV Eindhoven to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven are 9.40 for ADO Den Haag at 1xBet, 6.62 for the draw at 1xBet and 1.27 for PSV Eindhoven at 1xBet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.23 (1xBet) and under 2.5 3.42 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.52 (1xBet) and no 2.37 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

77%

Our prediction

PSV Eindhoven to win
BankerExpected goals 1.07 : 3.09-2.5% against the best price
Double chancePSV Eindhoven or draw
90% chance1.07
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
77% chance1.23
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.52
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
92% chance1.09fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-3
8% chance12.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time PSV Eindhoven, full-time PSV Eindhoven
55% chance1.81fair

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven prediction

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven prediction and best bet

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven prediction for the Eredivisie on Saturday, 17 October 2026: the model makes PSV Eindhoven the clear favourite at 77%, with the draw at 13% and ADO Den Haag at 10%.

ADO Den Haag are expected to score 1.07 and PSV Eindhoven 3.09, so the total line is 4.16 goals; over 2.5 lands at 77% and BTTS at 62%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven is pSV Eindhoven to win, a 77% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.27 at 1xBet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

For a safer line, pSV Eindhoven or draw covers 90% of outcomes at 1.07.

The draw sits at only 13%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: ADO Den Haag have won 1 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 8 conceded, PSV Eindhoven 2 of 5 scoring 10 and conceding 4.

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 24% and under 3.5 40%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 92% and over 2.5 at 77%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 77%; 1xBet pay 1.23.

Both teams to score is 62%: ADO Den Haag find the net in 66% of simulated matches and PSV Eindhoven in 95%. ADO Den Haag keep a clean sheet 5% of the time and PSV Eindhoven 34%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: 1-3 (8.2%), 1-2 (8%) and 0-3 (7.7%).

With the top scoreline at 8.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time PSV Eindhoven, full-time PSV Eindhoven leads at 55%. A goal before the break is rated 85%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven

The grid built from 1.07 and 3.09 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

ADO Den Haag to win10%9.40
Draw13%6.62
PSV Eindhoven to win77%1.27
ADO Den Haag, draw no bet12%fair 8.55
PSV Eindhoven, draw no bet88%fair 1.13

Double chance

ADO Den Haag or draw23%3.88
PSV Eindhoven or draw90%1.07
ADO Den Haag or PSV Eindhoven (no draw)87%1.12

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 2.5 goals77%1.23
Over 3.5 goals60%fair 1.68
Over 4.5 goals40%fair 2.49
Under 1.5 goals8%fair 12.20
Under 2.5 goals24%3.42
Under 3.5 goals40%fair 2.48

BTTS

Both teams to score62%1.52
Not both teams to score38%2.37

Halves

First-half goal85%fair 1.18
Over 1.5 first-half goals56%fair 1.79
Second-half goal90%fair 1.11

Team goals

ADO Den Haag to score66%fair 1.52
PSV Eindhoven to score95%fair 1.05
ADO Den Haag clean sheet5%fair 21.74
PSV Eindhoven clean sheet34%fair 2.92
ADO Den Haag to win to nil4%fair 23.81
PSV Eindhoven to win to nil32%fair 3.16

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-38.2%
1-28%
0-37.7%
0-27.5%
1-46.3%
0-45.9%

Half-time / full-time

PSV Eindhoven / PSV Eindhoven55.3%
Draw / PSV Eindhoven17.7%
Draw / Draw6.4%
ADO Den Haag / ADO Den Haag5.3%
ADO Den Haag / PSV Eindhoven4.1%

Questions about ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven

ADO Den Haag or PSV Eindhoven: which side does the model back?

The model gives PSV Eindhoven the best chance at 77%, with the draw at 13%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven correct score: what does the model say?

1-3 is the most likely scoreline at 8.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 77% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?

The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. ADO Den Haag find the net in 66% of simulated matches and PSV Eindhoven in 95%.

When is ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven and where is the result shown?

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven starts at 14:30 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, ADO Den Haag v PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven to win, 77%
1.27Bet