KNVB Beker
Helmond SportHomeLLLLW
3:4Half-time 1:3
Willem IIAwayLLLWL282448
Helmond Sport winDrawWillem II win
Helmond SportHomeLLLLWWillem IIAwayLLLWL- Kick-off Tue 27 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.34 1.43 : 1.91
- Favourite
- 48% Willem II
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 66% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Helmond Sport vs Willem II
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.44 | 3.66 | 1.94 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 1.45 | 2.56 | Bet |
 22Bet | 3.48 | 3.77 | 1.94 | 1.45 | 2.63 | 1.45 | 2.64 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 3.45 | 3.75 | 1.89 | 1.51 | 2.42 | 1.47 | 2.42 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.48 | 3.77 | 1.94 | 1.45 | 2.63 | 1.45 | 2.64 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.42 | 3.62 | 1.96 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 1.44 | 2.60 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Willem II to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Helmond Sport vs Willem II are 3.48 for Helmond Sport at 22Bet, 3.77 for the draw at 22Bet and 1.96 for Willem II at Melbet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.51 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.63 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.47 (BC.Game) and no 2.64 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
76%
Our prediction
Helmond Sport or Willem II (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
65% chance1.51
BTTSBoth teams to score
66% chance1.47
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.18fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.31fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Willem II, full-time Willem II
31% chance3.27fair
First halfFirst-half goal
78% chance1.29fair
Helmond Sport vs Willem II prediction
Our Helmond Sport vs Willem II prediction and pick
Helmond Sport host Willem II on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 in the KNVB Beker, and the model has Willem II at 48%, the draw at 24% and Helmond Sport at 28%: that is the Helmond Sport vs Willem II prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 3.34 in total, split 1.43 to Helmond Sport and 1.91 to Willem II. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 65% and both teams to score 66%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is helmond Sport or Willem II (no draw) at 76%. The best price in our comparison is 1.25 at Melbet, which implies 80%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Helmond Sport stand at 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Willem II show 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in 5.
Helmond Sport vs Willem II over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 85%, over 2.5 at 65%, over 3.5 at 43%; under 2.5 is 35% and under 3.5 is 57%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 65%; BC.Game pay 1.51.
The chance of both teams scoring is 66%, built from Helmond Sport scoring in 76% of runs and Willem II in 85%; clean sheets come at 15% for Helmond Sport and 24% for Willem II.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9.7%, followed by 1-2 (9.2%) and 2-1 (6.9%).
With the top scoreline at 9.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Helmond Sport vs Willem II; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Willem II, full-time Willem II leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Helmond Sport vs Willem II
The grid built from 1.43 and 1.91 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Helmond Sport to win28%3.48
Draw24%3.77
Willem II to win48%1.96
Helmond Sport, draw no bet37%fair 2.71
Willem II, draw no bet63%fair 1.58
Double chance
Helmond Sport or draw52%1.81
Willem II or draw72%1.28
Helmond Sport or Willem II (no draw)76%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 2.5 goals65%1.51
Over 3.5 goals43%fair 2.34
Over 4.5 goals25%fair 4.08
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.49
Under 2.5 goals35%2.63
Under 3.5 goals57%fair 1.75
BTTS
Both teams to score66%1.47
Not both teams to score34%2.64
Halves
First-half goal78%fair 1.29
Over 1.5 first-half goals44%fair 2.26
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19
Team goals
Helmond Sport to score76%fair 1.31
Willem II to score85%fair 1.17
Helmond Sport clean sheet15%fair 6.76
Willem II clean sheet24%fair 4.18
Helmond Sport to win to nil14%fair 7.35
Willem II to win to nil22%fair 4.55
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-19.7%
1-29.2%
2-16.9%
0-16.8%
2-26.6%
0-26.5%
Half-time / full-time
Willem II / Willem II30.6%
Helmond Sport / Helmond Sport16.9%
Draw / Willem II14.9%
Draw / Draw11.7%
Draw / Helmond Sport9.8%
Questions about Helmond Sport vs Willem II
Who will win Helmond Sport vs Willem II?
The model gives Willem II the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 24%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Helmond Sport vs Willem II?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 65%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Helmond Sport vs Willem II?
The BTTS yes line is rated 66%. Helmond Sport find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Willem II in 85%.
When is Helmond Sport vs Willem II and where is the result shown?
Helmond Sport vs Willem II starts at 19:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.