Eredivisie
Round 9 Sunday, 18 October 2026
FT
CambuurHomeWDWWW
2:2Half-time 2:1
AZ AlkmaarAwayWDWLL151867
Cambuur winDrawAZ Alkmaar win
Eredivisie
Round 9 Sunday, 18 October 2026
FT
CambuurHomeWDWWWAZ AlkmaarAwayWDWLL- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.66 1.13 : 2.53
- Favourite
- 67% AZ Alkmaar
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 63% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 6.24 | 4.80 | 1.49 | 1.35 | 2.74 | 1.50 | 2.42 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
AZ Alkmaar to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Cambuur price at 6.24, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.80 and 1xBet have AZ Alkmaar longest at 1.49.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.35 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.74 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.50 (1xBet) and no 2.42 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
67%
Our prediction
AZ Alkmaar to win
Double chanceAZ Alkmaar or draw
85% chance1.14
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
70% chance1.35
BTTSBoth teams to score
63% chance1.50
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
88% chance1.14fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
9% chance10.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time AZ Alkmaar, full-time AZ Alkmaar
46% chance2.18fair
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar prediction
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar prediction, who wins and at what price
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar prediction for the Eredivisie on Sunday, 18 October 2026: the model makes AZ Alkmaar the clear favourite at 67%, with the draw at 18% and Cambuur at 15%.
The goal expectancy is 3.66 in total, split 1.13 to Cambuur and 2.53 to AZ Alkmaar. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 70% and both teams to score 63%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is aZ Alkmaar to win at 67%. The best price in our comparison is 1.49 at 1xBet, which implies 67%, so the model sits 0 points above the market.
For a safer line, aZ Alkmaar or draw covers 85% of outcomes at 1.14.
With the draw down at 18%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Form check: Cambuur have won 4 of their last 5 with 15 scored and 3 conceded, AZ Alkmaar 2 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 6.
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Under 2.5 goals is rated 30% and under 3.5 50%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 88% and over 2.5 at 70%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 70%, best priced 1.35 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 63%, built from Cambuur scoring in 68% of runs and AZ Alkmaar in 92%; clean sheets come at 8% for Cambuur and 32% for AZ Alkmaar.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
Correct score: 1-2 leads at 9.3%, then 0-2 at 8.2% and 1-3 at 7.8%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time AZ Alkmaar, full-time AZ Alkmaar is the top combination at 46%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 81%.
Every market rated for Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 15% / 18% / 67% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Cambuur to win15%6.24
Draw18%4.80
AZ Alkmaar to win67%1.49
Cambuur, draw no bet18%fair 5.59
AZ Alkmaar, draw no bet82%fair 1.22
Double chance
Cambuur or draw33%2.71
AZ Alkmaar or draw85%1.14
Cambuur or AZ Alkmaar (no draw)82%1.20
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 2.5 goals70%1.35
Over 3.5 goals50%fair 2.01
Over 4.5 goals31%fair 3.28
Under 1.5 goals12%fair 8.33
Under 2.5 goals30%2.74
Under 3.5 goals50%fair 1.99
BTTS
Both teams to score63%1.50
Not both teams to score37%2.42
Halves
First-half goal81%fair 1.24
Over 1.5 first-half goals49%fair 2.04
Second-half goal87%fair 1.15
Team goals
Cambuur to score68%fair 1.48
AZ Alkmaar to score92%fair 1.09
Cambuur clean sheet8%fair 12.50
AZ Alkmaar clean sheet32%fair 3.10
Cambuur to win to nil7%fair 13.70
AZ Alkmaar to win to nil30%fair 3.37
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-29.3%
0-28.2%
1-37.8%
1-17.4%
0-36.9%
0-16.5%
Half-time / full-time
AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar45.9%
Draw / AZ Alkmaar17.9%
Draw / Draw8.9%
Cambuur / Cambuur8.4%
Draw / Cambuur5.3%
Questions about Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar
Who is favourite in Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?
The model gives AZ Alkmaar the best chance at 67%, with the draw at 18%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar correct score: what does the model say?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 70% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?
The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. Cambuur find the net in 68% of simulated matches and AZ Alkmaar in 92%.
When is Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar and where is the result shown?
Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar starts at 12:30 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.