KNVB Beker
Sparta RotterdamHomeDWLDW
2:2Half-time 1:0Penalties 2:3
Fortuna SittardAwayDDWDD452530
Sparta Rotterdam winDrawFortuna Sittard win
Sparta RotterdamHomeDWLDWFortuna SittardAwayDDWDD- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.07 1.72 : 1.35
- Favourite
- 45% Sparta Rotterdam
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 62% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.58 | 2.12 | 1.53 | 2.34 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.84 | 3.88 | 3.73 | 1.63 | 2.20 | 1.59 | 2.28 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.81 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 1.60 | 2.22 | 1.55 | 2.24 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.84 | 3.88 | 3.73 | 1.60 | 2.25 | 1.59 | 2.28 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.84 | 3.88 | 3.73 | 1.63 | 2.20 | 1.59 | 2.28 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Sparta Rotterdam to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard prediction: Sparta Rotterdam 2.00 (1xBet), draw 3.88 (22Bet), Fortuna Sittard 3.75 (BC.Game).
The best-price payout across the three results is 97.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.63 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.25 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.59 (Betwinner) and no 2.34 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
75%
Our prediction
Sparta Rotterdam or Fortuna Sittard (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
59% chance1.63
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.59
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.23fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sparta Rotterdam, full-time Sparta Rotterdam
28% chance3.52fair
First halfFirst-half goal
75% chance1.34fair
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard prediction
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard prediction and best bet
Sparta Rotterdam host Fortuna Sittard on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 in the KNVB Beker, and the model has Sparta Rotterdam at 45%, the draw at 25% and Fortuna Sittard at 29%: that is the Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.72 for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.35 for Fortuna Sittard, a total of 3.07, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 62%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard is sparta Rotterdam or Fortuna Sittard (no draw), a 75% chance. At 1.26 with 1xBet the market prices it at 79%, against 75% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Sparta Rotterdam stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Fortuna Sittard show 1 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats in 5.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 81%, over 2.5 at 59%, over 3.5 at 37%; under 2.5 is 41% and under 3.5 is 63%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 59%; 22Bet pay 1.63.
BTTS yes stands at 62%. Sparta Rotterdam score in 82% of simulations against a 18% clean sheet for Fortuna Sittard; Fortuna Sittard score in 74% while Sparta Rotterdam shut them out 26% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.8%, then 2-1 at 9.3% and 1-0 at 8%.
With the top scoreline at 10.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sparta Rotterdam, full-time Sparta Rotterdam leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 45% / 25% / 29% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Sparta Rotterdam to win45%2.00
Draw25%3.88
Fortuna Sittard to win29%3.75
Sparta Rotterdam, draw no bet61%fair 1.64
Fortuna Sittard, draw no bet39%fair 2.55
Double chance
Sparta Rotterdam or draw71%1.27
Fortuna Sittard or draw55%1.90
Sparta Rotterdam or Fortuna Sittard (no draw)75%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.63
Over 3.5 goals37%fair 2.72
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 5.08
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.29
Under 2.5 goals41%2.25
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.58
BTTS
Both teams to score62%1.59
Not both teams to score38%2.34
Halves
First-half goal75%fair 1.34
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.49
Second-half goal82%fair 1.23
Team goals
Sparta Rotterdam to score82%fair 1.22
Fortuna Sittard to score74%fair 1.35
Sparta Rotterdam clean sheet26%fair 3.86
Fortuna Sittard clean sheet18%fair 5.59
Sparta Rotterdam to win to nil24%fair 4.18
Fortuna Sittard to win to nil17%fair 6.06
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.8%
2-19.3%
1-08%
1-27.3%
2-06.9%
0-16.3%
Half-time / full-time
Sparta Rotterdam / Sparta Rotterdam28.4%
Fortuna Sittard / Fortuna Sittard17.5%
Draw / Sparta Rotterdam14.9%
Draw / Draw13%
Draw / Fortuna Sittard10.5%
Questions about Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard?
The model gives Sparta Rotterdam the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 59%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard?
The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Sparta Rotterdam find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Fortuna Sittard in 74%.
When do Sparta Rotterdam play Fortuna Sittard?
Kick-off is 17:45 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.