Eredivisie
Round 10 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
UtrechtHomeWWDWL
1:1Half-time 0:0
PEC ZwolleAwayLWDLW572221
Utrecht winDrawPEC Zwolle win
Eredivisie
Round 10 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
UtrechtHomeWWDWLPEC ZwolleAwayLWDLW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.35 2.10 : 1.25
- Favourite
- 57% Utrecht
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 63% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.67 | 4.22 | 4.84 | 1.56 | 2.37 | 1.57 | 2.26 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Utrecht to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle are 1.67 for Utrecht at 1xBet, 4.22 for the draw at 1xBet and 4.84 for PEC Zwolle at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.56 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.37 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.57 (1xBet) and no 2.26 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
57%
Our prediction
Utrecht to win
Double chanceUtrecht or PEC Zwolle (no draw)
78% chance1.24
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
65% chance1.56
BTTSBoth teams to score
63% chance1.57
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.18fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.31fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Utrecht, full-time Utrecht
37% chance2.73fair
Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle prediction
Our Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle prediction and pick
The Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle prediction leans to Utrecht: 57% against 22% for PEC Zwolle, with 22% left for the draw, in the Eredivisie on Saturday, 24 October 2026.
Utrecht are expected to score 2.10 and PEC Zwolle 1.25, so the total line is 3.35 goals; over 2.5 lands at 65% and BTTS at 63%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle is utrecht to win, a 57% chance. At 1.67 with 1xBet the market prices it at 60%, against 57% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle.
For a safer line, utrecht or PEC Zwolle (no draw) covers 78% of outcomes at 1.24.
With the draw down at 22%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Form check: Utrecht have won 3 of their last 5 with 9 scored and 7 conceded, PEC Zwolle 2 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 5.
Goals forecast for Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 35% and under 3.5 57%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 85% and over 2.5 at 65%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 65%, best priced 1.56 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 63%. Utrecht score in 88% of simulations against a 12% clean sheet for PEC Zwolle; PEC Zwolle score in 71% while Utrecht shut them out 29% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle: 2-1 (9.7%), 1-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.7%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Utrecht, full-time Utrecht leads at 37%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 57% / 22% / 22% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Utrecht to win57%1.67
Draw22%4.22
PEC Zwolle to win22%4.84
Utrecht, draw no bet72%fair 1.39
PEC Zwolle, draw no bet28%fair 3.60
Double chance
Utrecht or draw78%1.20
PEC Zwolle or draw44%2.25
Utrecht or PEC Zwolle (no draw)78%1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 2.5 goals65%1.56
Over 3.5 goals43%fair 2.32
Over 4.5 goals25%fair 4.07
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.54
Under 2.5 goals35%2.37
Under 3.5 goals57%fair 1.76
BTTS
Both teams to score63%1.57
Not both teams to score37%2.26
Halves
First-half goal78%fair 1.28
Over 1.5 first-half goals45%fair 2.25
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19
Team goals
Utrecht to score88%fair 1.14
PEC Zwolle to score71%fair 1.40
Utrecht clean sheet29%fair 3.48
PEC Zwolle clean sheet12%fair 8.20
Utrecht to win to nil26%fair 3.79
PEC Zwolle to win to nil11%fair 8.85
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.7%
1-19.2%
2-07.7%
1-07.4%
3-16.8%
2-26%
Half-time / full-time
Utrecht / Utrecht36.6%
Draw / Utrecht16.7%
PEC Zwolle / PEC Zwolle12.7%
Draw / Draw11.1%
Draw / PEC Zwolle7.8%
Questions about Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle
Utrecht or PEC Zwolle: which side does the model back?
The model gives Utrecht the best chance at 57%, with the draw at 22%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle correct score: what does the model say?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 65% backs the same picture with less variance.
Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. Utrecht find the net in 88% of simulated matches and PEC Zwolle in 71%.
When do Utrecht play PEC Zwolle?
Kick-off is 14:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.