AZ AlkmaarHomeWDWLL
AZ AlkmaarHomeWDWLL- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.33 1.77 : 1.56
- Favourite
- 42% AZ Alkmaar
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 66% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
AZ Alkmaar vs Twente betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.28 | 3.82 | 2.93 | 1.48 | 2.55 | 1.41 | 2.69 | Bet | |
| 2.22 | 3.80 | 2.95 | 1.48 | 2.66 | 1.45 | 2.76 | Bet | |
| 2.28 | 3.65 | 2.76 | 1.51 | 2.42 | 1.46 | 2.56 | Bet | |
| 2.22 | 3.80 | 2.95 | 1.53 | 2.50 | 1.48 | 2.68 | Bet | |
| 2.22 | 3.80 | 2.95 | 1.48 | 2.66 | 1.45 | 2.76 | Bet | |
| 2.30 | 3.80 | 2.75 | 1.47 | 2.55 | 1.44 | 2.60 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
The top 1X2 prices for AZ Alkmaar vs Twente are 2.30 for AZ Alkmaar at Stake, 3.82 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.95 for Twente at Melbet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.53 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.66 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.48 (Betwinner) and no 2.76 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
Our prediction
AZ Alkmaar vs Twente prediction
AZ Alkmaar vs Twente prediction, who wins and at what price
The AZ Alkmaar vs Twente prediction leans to AZ Alkmaar: 42% against 33% for Twente, with 24% left for the draw, in the Eredivisie on Sunday, 25 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.77 for AZ Alkmaar and 1.56 for Twente, a total of 3.33, which puts over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 66%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
AZ Alkmaar or Twente (no draw) is the main selection, rated 76%. At 1.28 with 1xBet the market prices it at 78%, against 76% from the model.
Form check: AZ Alkmaar have won 2 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 6 conceded, Twente 4 of 5 scoring 17 and conceding 3.
Goals forecast for AZ Alkmaar vs Twente with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 85%, over 2.5 at 64%, over 3.5 at 43%; under 2.5 is 36% and under 3.5 is 57%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 64%, best priced 1.53 at Betwinner.
The chance of both teams scoring is 66%, built from AZ Alkmaar scoring in 83% of runs and Twente in 79%; clean sheets come at 21% for AZ Alkmaar and 17% for Twente.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 9.9%, then 2-1 at 8.7% and 1-2 at 7.7%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time AZ Alkmaar, full-time AZ Alkmaar is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 78%.
Every market for AZ Alkmaar vs Twente
The grid built from 1.77 and 1.56 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
Questions about AZ Alkmaar vs Twente
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
The model gives AZ Alkmaar the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 24%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 64% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
The BTTS yes line is rated 66%. AZ Alkmaar find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Twente in 79%.
When is AZ Alkmaar vs Twente and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

