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Eredivisie Round 10 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
AZ AlkmaarHomeWDWLL
0:2Half-time 0:0
TwenteAwayWLWWW
422434
AZ Alkmaar winDrawTwente win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
3.33
1.77 : 1.56
Favourite
42%
AZ Alkmaar
Over 2.5 goals
64%
model chance
Both teams to score
66%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

AZ Alkmaar vs Twente betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.283.822.931.482.551.412.69Bet
22Bet2.223.802.951.482.661.452.76Bet
BC.Game2.283.652.761.512.421.462.56Bet
Betwinner2.223.802.951.532.501.482.68Bet
Melbet2.223.802.951.482.661.452.76Bet
Stake2.303.802.751.472.551.442.60Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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AZ Alkmaar to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for AZ Alkmaar vs Twente are 2.30 for AZ Alkmaar at Stake, 3.82 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.95 for Twente at Melbet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.53 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.66 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.48 (Betwinner) and no 2.76 (22Bet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

76%

Our prediction

AZ Alkmaar or Twente (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.77 : 1.56-3% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
64% chance1.53
BTTSBoth teams to score
66% chance1.48
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.18fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.10fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time AZ Alkmaar, full-time AZ Alkmaar
26% chance3.79fair
First halfFirst-half goal
78% chance1.29fair

AZ Alkmaar vs Twente prediction

AZ Alkmaar vs Twente prediction, who wins and at what price

The AZ Alkmaar vs Twente prediction leans to AZ Alkmaar: 42% against 33% for Twente, with 24% left for the draw, in the Eredivisie on Sunday, 25 October 2026.

Expected goals are 1.77 for AZ Alkmaar and 1.56 for Twente, a total of 3.33, which puts over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 66%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

AZ Alkmaar or Twente (no draw) is the main selection, rated 76%. At 1.28 with 1xBet the market prices it at 78%, against 76% from the model.

Form check: AZ Alkmaar have won 2 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 6 conceded, Twente 4 of 5 scoring 17 and conceding 3.

Goals forecast for AZ Alkmaar vs Twente with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 85%, over 2.5 at 64%, over 3.5 at 43%; under 2.5 is 36% and under 3.5 is 57%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 64%, best priced 1.53 at Betwinner.

The chance of both teams scoring is 66%, built from AZ Alkmaar scoring in 83% of runs and Twente in 79%; clean sheets come at 21% for AZ Alkmaar and 17% for Twente.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 9.9%, then 2-1 at 8.7% and 1-2 at 7.7%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time AZ Alkmaar, full-time AZ Alkmaar is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 78%.

Every market for AZ Alkmaar vs Twente

The grid built from 1.77 and 1.56 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

AZ Alkmaar to win42%2.30
Draw24%3.82
Twente to win33%2.95
AZ Alkmaar, draw no bet56%fair 1.79
Twente, draw no bet44%fair 2.27

Double chance

AZ Alkmaar or draw67%1.43
Twente or draw58%1.66
AZ Alkmaar or Twente (no draw)76%1.28

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 2.5 goals64%1.53
Over 3.5 goals43%fair 2.35
Over 4.5 goals24%fair 4.12
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.45
Under 2.5 goals36%2.66
Under 3.5 goals57%fair 1.74

BTTS

Both teams to score66%1.48
Not both teams to score34%2.76

Halves

First-half goal78%fair 1.29
Over 1.5 first-half goals44%fair 2.26
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19

Team goals

AZ Alkmaar to score83%fair 1.20
Twente to score79%fair 1.27
AZ Alkmaar clean sheet21%fair 4.76
Twente clean sheet17%fair 5.88
AZ Alkmaar to win to nil19%fair 5.18
Twente to win to nil16%fair 6.37

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-19.9%
2-18.7%
1-27.7%
2-26.8%
1-06.3%
2-05.6%

Half-time / full-time

AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar26.4%
Twente / Twente20.3%
Draw / AZ Alkmaar13.5%
Draw / Draw11.9%
Draw / Twente11.2%

Questions about AZ Alkmaar vs Twente

Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?

The model gives AZ Alkmaar the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 24%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 64% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?

The BTTS yes line is rated 66%. AZ Alkmaar find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Twente in 79%.

When is AZ Alkmaar vs Twente and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, AZ Alkmaar v TwenteAZ Alkmaar or Twente (no draw), 76%
1.28Bet