KNVB Beker
Excelsior '31HomeWD
1:1Half-time 1:0Penalties 6:5
ADO Den HaagAwayDWLDL6985
Excelsior '31 winDrawADO Den Haag win
Excelsior '31HomeWDADO Den HaagAwayDWLDL- Kick-off Tue 27 Oct
- Expected goals
- 4.30 0.85 : 3.45
- Favourite
- 85% ADO Den Haag
- Over 2.5 goals
- 77% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 14.70 | 7.10 | 1.14 | 1.23 | 3.42 | 1.75 | 1.97 | Bet |
 22Bet | 11.10 | 7.58 | 1.18 | 1.25 | 3.75 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 14.00 | 7.40 | 1.13 | 1.28 | 3.45 | 1.69 | 2.00 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 11.10 | 7.58 | 1.18 | - | - | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
 Melbet | 11.10 | 7.58 | 1.18 | - | - | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
ADO Den Haag to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag prediction: Excelsior '31 14.70 (1xBet), draw 7.58 (Melbet), ADO Den Haag 1.18 (Melbet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.28 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 3.75 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.75 (1xBet) and no 2.02 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
85%
Our prediction
ADO Den Haag to win
Double chanceADO Den Haag or draw
94% chance1.02
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
77% chance1.28
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.75
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
93% chance1.08fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-3
9% chance10.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time ADO Den Haag, full-time ADO Den Haag
64% chance1.57fair
Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag prediction
Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag prediction and best bet
Excelsior '31 host ADO Den Haag on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 in the KNVB Beker, and the model has ADO Den Haag at 85%, the draw at 9% and Excelsior '31 at 6%: that is the Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag prediction in one line.
Excelsior '31 are expected to score 0.85 and ADO Den Haag 3.45, so the total line is 4.30 goals; over 2.5 lands at 77% and BTTS at 56%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is aDO Den Haag to win at 85%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.18. That price implies 85%, 0 points over the model figure.
For a safer line, aDO Den Haag or draw covers 94% of outcomes at 1.02.
With the draw down at 9%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag reads 93% for over 1.5, 77% for over 2.5 and 62% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 23%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 77%, best priced 1.28 at BC.Game.
The chance of both teams scoring is 56%, built from Excelsior '31 scoring in 57% of runs and ADO Den Haag in 97%; clean sheets come at 3% for Excelsior '31 and 43% for ADO Den Haag.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag: 0-3 (9.3%), 0-2 (8.1%) and 0-4 (8%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time ADO Den Haag, full-time ADO Den Haag leads at 64%. A goal before the break is rated 86%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag
The grid built from 0.85 and 3.45 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Excelsior '31 to win6%14.70
Draw9%7.58
ADO Den Haag to win85%1.18
Excelsior '31, draw no bet7%fair 14.93
ADO Den Haag, draw no bet93%fair 1.07
Double chance
Excelsior '31 or draw15%4.84
ADO Den Haag or draw94%1.02
Excelsior '31 or ADO Den Haag (no draw)91%1.07
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 2.5 goals77%1.28
Over 3.5 goals62%fair 1.61
Over 4.5 goals43%fair 2.34
Under 1.5 goals8%fair 13.33
Under 2.5 goals23%3.75
Under 3.5 goals38%fair 2.63
BTTS
Both teams to score56%1.75
Not both teams to score44%2.02
Halves
First-half goal86%fair 1.17
Over 1.5 first-half goals58%fair 1.74
Second-half goal91%fair 1.10
Team goals
Excelsior '31 to score57%fair 1.75
ADO Den Haag to score97%fair 1.03
Excelsior '31 clean sheet3%fair 31.25
ADO Den Haag clean sheet43%fair 2.34
Excelsior '31 to win to nil3%fair 34.48
ADO Den Haag to win to nil39%fair 2.54
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
0-39.3%
0-28.1%
0-48%
1-37.9%
1-26.9%
1-46.8%
Half-time / full-time
ADO Den Haag / ADO Den Haag63.7%
Draw / ADO Den Haag17.5%
Draw / Draw4.8%
Excelsior '31 / ADO Den Haag3.6%
Excelsior '31 / Excelsior '312.9%
Questions about Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag
Excelsior '31 or ADO Den Haag: which side does the model back?
The model gives ADO Den Haag the best chance at 85%, with the draw at 9%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag?
0-3 is the most likely scoreline at 9.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 77%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Excelsior '31 find the net in 57% of simulated matches and ADO Den Haag in 97%.
When is Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag and where is the result shown?
Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag starts at 17:45 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.