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Live 34 UTC
Champions League Matchday 3 Tuesday, 20 October 2026 FT
FC PortoHomeWLLWW
0:1Half-time 0:0
PSV EindhovenAwayLLWDW
652015
FC Porto winDrawPSV Eindhoven win
Kick-off
Tue 20 Oct
Expected goals
3.27
2.25 : 1.02
Favourite
65%
FC Porto
Over 2.5 goals
63%
model chance
Both teams to score
57%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.574.785.901.522.331.652.13Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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FC Porto to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven are 1.57 for FC Porto at 1xBet, 4.78 for the draw at 1xBet and 5.90 for PSV Eindhoven at 1xBet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 98.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.52 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.33 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.65 (1xBet) and no 2.13 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

65%

Our prediction

FC Porto to win
BankerExpected goals 2.25 : 1.02+1.4% against the best price
Double chanceFC Porto or draw
85% chance1.18
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
63% chance1.52
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.65
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.19fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC Porto, full-time FC Porto
43% chance2.32fair

FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven prediction

Our FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven prediction and pick

FC Porto host PSV Eindhoven on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 in the Champions League, and the model has FC Porto at 65%, the draw at 20% and PSV Eindhoven at 15%: that is the FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 3.27 in total, split 2.25 to FC Porto and 1.02 to PSV Eindhoven. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 63% and both teams to score 57%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven is fC Porto to win, a 65% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.57. That price implies 64%, 1 points under the model figure.

FC Porto or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 85% chance, priced 1.18.

With the draw down at 20%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches FC Porto stand at 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; PSV Eindhoven show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 84%, over 2.5 at 63%, over 3.5 at 41%; under 2.5 is 37% and under 3.5 is 59%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 63%, best priced 1.52 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 57%, built from FC Porto scoring in 90% of runs and PSV Eindhoven in 64%; clean sheets come at 36% for FC Porto and 11% for PSV Eindhoven.

Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9.8%, then 2-0 at 9.6% and 1-1 at 8.7%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time FC Porto, full-time FC Porto is the top combination at 43%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.

Every market for FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

FC Porto to win65%1.57
Draw20%4.78
PSV Eindhoven to win15%5.90
FC Porto, draw no bet81%fair 1.23
PSV Eindhoven, draw no bet19%fair 5.29

Double chance

FC Porto or draw85%1.18
PSV Eindhoven or draw35%2.64
FC Porto or PSV Eindhoven (no draw)80%1.24

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.52
Over 3.5 goals41%fair 2.42
Over 4.5 goals23%fair 4.31
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.17
Under 2.5 goals37%2.33
Under 3.5 goals59%fair 1.70

BTTS

Both teams to score57%1.65
Not both teams to score43%2.13

Halves

First-half goal77%fair 1.30
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.31
Second-half goal83%fair 1.20

Team goals

FC Porto to score90%fair 1.12
PSV Eindhoven to score64%fair 1.56
FC Porto clean sheet36%fair 2.77
PSV Eindhoven clean sheet11%fair 9.52
FC Porto to win to nil33%fair 3.01
PSV Eindhoven to win to nil10%fair 10.31

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-19.8%
2-09.6%
1-18.7%
1-08.6%
3-17.4%
3-07.2%

Half-time / full-time

FC Porto / FC Porto43.1%
Draw / FC Porto18.5%
Draw / Draw10.6%
PSV Eindhoven / PSV Eindhoven8.8%
Draw / PSV Eindhoven5.9%

Questions about FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven

Who is favourite in FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

The model gives FC Porto the best chance at 65%, with the draw at 20%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What is the correct score prediction for FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 63%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. FC Porto find the net in 90% of simulated matches and PSV Eindhoven in 64%.

What time does FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven kick off?

FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven starts at 19:00 UTC on Tuesday, 20 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, FC Porto v PSV EindhovenFC Porto to win, 65%
1.57Bet