J1 League
Shimizu S-pulseHomeLDLLL
Sat 7 Nov
Tokyo VerdyAwayLLDWW422929
Shimizu S-pulse winDrawTokyo Verdy win
Shimizu S-pulseHomeLDLLLTokyo VerdyAwayLLDWW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.32 1.28 : 1.04
- Favourite
- 42% Shimizu S-pulse
- Over 2.5 goals
- 41% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 48% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.31 | 3.24 | 3.26 | 2.34 | 1.61 | 1.94 | 1.77 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.30 | 3.22 | 3.24 | 2.33 | 1.61 | 1.94 | 1.77 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.24 | 3.15 | 3.25 | 2.28 | 1.57 | 1.93 | 1.74 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.30 | 3.22 | 3.24 | 2.33 | 1.61 | 1.94 | 1.77 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.30 | 3.22 | 3.24 | 2.33 | 1.61 | 1.94 | 1.77 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.25 | 3.15 | 3.20 | 2.20 | 1.60 | 1.94 | 1.74 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Shimizu S-pulse to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Shimizu S-pulse price at 2.31, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.24 and 1xBet have Tokyo Verdy longest at 3.26.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.34 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.61 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.94 (22Bet) and no 1.77 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
71%
Our prediction
Shimizu S-pulse or Tokyo Verdy (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
59% chance1.61
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.77
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
67% chance1.48fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.63fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Shimizu S-pulse, full-time Shimizu S-pulse
25% chance4.08fair
First halfFirst-half goal
65% chance1.54fair
Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy prediction
Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy prediction, who wins and at what price
The Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy prediction leans to Shimizu S-pulse: 42% against 29% for Tokyo Verdy, with 29% left for the draw, in the J1 League on Saturday, 7 November 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.32 in total, split 1.28 to Shimizu S-pulse and 1.04 to Tokyo Verdy. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 41% and both teams to score 48%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is shimizu S-pulse or Tokyo Verdy (no draw) at 71%. The best price in our comparison is 1.35 at 1xBet, which implies 74%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy.
Over the last 5 matches Shimizu S-pulse stand at 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Tokyo Verdy show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
A low-scoring Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 59% and under 3.5 80%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 67% and over 2.5 at 41%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 59%; 1xBet pay 1.61.
The chance of both teams scoring is 48%, built from Shimizu S-pulse scoring in 72% of runs and Tokyo Verdy in 65%; clean sheets come at 35% for Shimizu S-pulse and 28% for Tokyo Verdy.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 13.1%, then 1-0 at 12.6% and 0-1 at 10.2%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Shimizu S-pulse, full-time Shimizu S-pulse is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 65%.
Every market for Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Shimizu S-pulse to win42%2.31
Draw29%3.24
Tokyo Verdy to win29%3.26
Shimizu S-pulse, draw no bet59%fair 1.71
Tokyo Verdy, draw no bet41%fair 2.42
Double chance
Shimizu S-pulse or draw71%1.35
Tokyo Verdy or draw58%1.62
Shimizu S-pulse or Tokyo Verdy (no draw)71%1.35
Goals
Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals67%fair 1.48
Over 2.5 goals41%2.34
Over 3.5 goals21%fair 4.88
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 11.63
Under 1.5 goals33%fair 3.07
Under 2.5 goals59%1.61
Under 3.5 goals80%fair 1.26
BTTS
Both teams to score48%1.94
Not both teams to score52%1.77
Halves
First-half goal65%fair 1.54
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.57
Second-half goal72%fair 1.39
Team goals
Shimizu S-pulse to score72%fair 1.39
Tokyo Verdy to score65%fair 1.55
Shimizu S-pulse clean sheet35%fair 2.83
Tokyo Verdy clean sheet28%fair 3.60
Shimizu S-pulse to win to nil33%fair 3.08
Tokyo Verdy to win to nil26%fair 3.91
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-113.1%
1-012.6%
0-110.2%
0-09.8%
2-18.4%
2-08.1%
Half-time / full-time
Shimizu S-pulse / Shimizu S-pulse24.5%
Draw / Draw18.3%
Tokyo Verdy / Tokyo Verdy16.9%
Draw / Shimizu S-pulse15.4%
Draw / Tokyo Verdy11.7%
Questions about Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy
Shimizu S-pulse or Tokyo Verdy: which side does the model back?
The model gives Shimizu S-pulse the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 41% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy?
The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Shimizu S-pulse find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Tokyo Verdy in 65%.
What time does Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy kick off?
Kick-off is 04:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.