J1 League
Tokyo VerdyHomeLLDWW
0:4Half-time 0:1
FC TokyoAwayLWDWW162460
Tokyo Verdy winDrawFC Tokyo win
Tokyo VerdyHomeLLDWWFC TokyoAwayLWDWW- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.54 0.78 : 1.76
- Favourite
- 61% FC Tokyo
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 46% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 5.59 | 3.90 | 1.63 | 2.05 | 1.79 | 1.98 | 1.74 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
FC Tokyo to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo are 5.59 for Tokyo Verdy at 1xBet, 3.90 for the draw at 1xBet and 1.63 for FC Tokyo at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.05 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.79 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.98 (1xBet) and no 1.74 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
61%
Our prediction
FC Tokyo to win
Double chanceFC Tokyo or draw
84% chance1.15
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.79
BTTSNot both teams to score
54% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
14% chance7.19fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC Tokyo, full-time FC Tokyo
38% chance2.60fair
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo prediction
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo prediction, who wins and at what price
Tokyo Verdy host FC Tokyo on Saturday, 17 October 2026 in the J1 League, and the model has FC Tokyo at 61%, the draw at 24% and Tokyo Verdy at 16%: that is the Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 0.78 for Tokyo Verdy and 1.76 for FC Tokyo, a total of 2.54, which puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 46%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is fC Tokyo to win at 61%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.63. That price implies 61%, 1 points over the model figure.
For a safer line, fC Tokyo or draw covers 84% of outcomes at 1.15.
Over the last 5 matches Tokyo Verdy stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; FC Tokyo show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 54% and under 3.5 75%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 72% and over 2.5 at 46%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.79 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 46%. Tokyo Verdy score in 54% of simulations against a 46% clean sheet for FC Tokyo; FC Tokyo score in 83% while Tokyo Verdy shut them out 17% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 13.9%, followed by 0-2 (12.2%) and 1-1 (10.8%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time FC Tokyo, full-time FC Tokyo is the top combination at 38%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.
Every market rated for Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo
The grid built from 0.78 and 1.76 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Tokyo Verdy to win16%5.59
Draw24%3.90
FC Tokyo to win61%1.63
Tokyo Verdy, draw no bet21%fair 4.78
FC Tokyo, draw no bet79%fair 1.26
Double chance
Tokyo Verdy or draw40%2.30
FC Tokyo or draw84%1.15
Tokyo Verdy or FC Tokyo (no draw)77%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%2.05
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 3.98
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.77
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.58
Under 2.5 goals54%1.79
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.34
BTTS
Both teams to score46%1.98
Not both teams to score54%1.74
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.15
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
Tokyo Verdy to score54%fair 1.85
FC Tokyo to score83%fair 1.21
Tokyo Verdy clean sheet17%fair 5.81
FC Tokyo clean sheet46%fair 2.18
Tokyo Verdy to win to nil15%fair 6.80
FC Tokyo to win to nil42%fair 2.37
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
0-113.9%
0-212.2%
1-110.8%
1-29.5%
0-07.9%
0-37.2%
Half-time / full-time
FC Tokyo / FC Tokyo38.4%
Draw / FC Tokyo19.8%
Draw / Draw14.9%
Tokyo Verdy / Tokyo Verdy8.7%
Draw / Tokyo Verdy6.6%
Questions about Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo
Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
The model gives FC Tokyo the best chance at 61%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo correct score: what does the model say?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 46%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
The BTTS yes line is rated 46%. Tokyo Verdy find the net in 54% of simulated matches and FC Tokyo in 83%.
When do Tokyo Verdy play FC Tokyo?
Kick-off is 05:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.