J1 League
Avispa FukuokaHomeLLLLL
Sat 7 Nov
V-varen NagasakiAwayDLWLL442729
Avispa Fukuoka winDrawV-varen Nagasaki win
Avispa FukuokaHomeLLLLLV-varen NagasakiAwayDLWLL- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.55 1.44 : 1.11
- Favourite
- 44% Avispa Fukuoka
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.10 | 3.48 | 3.50 | 2.05 | 1.79 | 1.80 | 1.90 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.09 | 3.46 | 3.48 | 2.04 | 1.78 | 1.80 | 1.91 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.02 | 3.35 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.74 | 1.80 | 1.86 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.09 | 3.46 | 3.48 | 2.04 | 1.78 | 1.80 | 1.91 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.09 | 3.46 | 3.48 | 2.04 | 1.78 | 1.80 | 1.91 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Avispa Fukuoka to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki are 2.10 for Avispa Fukuoka at 1xBet, 3.48 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.50 for V-varen Nagasaki at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 95.3%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.05 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.79 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.80 (22Bet) and no 1.91 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
73%
Our prediction
Avispa Fukuoka or V-varen Nagasaki (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.79
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.80
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance8.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Avispa Fukuoka, full-time Avispa Fukuoka
27% chance3.75fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.46fair
Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki prediction
Our Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki prediction and pick
Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki prediction for the J1 League on Saturday, 7 November 2026: the model makes Avispa Fukuoka marginally ahead at 44%, with the draw at 27% and V-varen Nagasaki at 29%.
Expected goals are 1.44 for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.11 for V-varen Nagasaki, a total of 2.55, which puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 52%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki is avispa Fukuoka or V-varen Nagasaki (no draw), a 73% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.31. That price implies 76%, 3 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki.
Over the last 5 matches Avispa Fukuoka stand at 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; V-varen Nagasaki show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki reads 72% for over 1.5, 46% for over 2.5 and 25% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 54%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.79 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Avispa Fukuoka scoring in 76% of runs and V-varen Nagasaki in 67%; clean sheets come at 33% for Avispa Fukuoka and 24% for V-varen Nagasaki.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.5%, then 1-0 at 11.2% and 2-1 at 9%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Avispa Fukuoka, full-time Avispa Fukuoka is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.
All markets, Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki
The grid built from 1.44 and 1.11 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Avispa Fukuoka to win44%2.10
Draw27%3.48
V-varen Nagasaki to win29%3.50
Avispa Fukuoka, draw no bet61%fair 1.64
V-varen Nagasaki, draw no bet39%fair 2.56
Double chance
Avispa Fukuoka or draw72%1.31
V-varen Nagasaki or draw56%1.74
Avispa Fukuoka or V-varen Nagasaki (no draw)73%1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals46%2.05
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 3.95
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.62
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.61
Under 2.5 goals54%1.79
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.34
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.80
Not both teams to score48%1.91
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.14
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
Avispa Fukuoka to score76%fair 1.31
V-varen Nagasaki to score67%fair 1.49
Avispa Fukuoka clean sheet33%fair 3.03
V-varen Nagasaki clean sheet24%fair 4.22
Avispa Fukuoka to win to nil30%fair 3.30
V-varen Nagasaki to win to nil22%fair 4.59
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.5%
1-011.2%
2-19%
0-18.7%
2-08.1%
0-07.8%
Half-time / full-time
Avispa Fukuoka / Avispa Fukuoka26.7%
V-varen Nagasaki / V-varen Nagasaki16.5%
Draw / Draw16.3%
Draw / Avispa Fukuoka15.6%
Draw / V-varen Nagasaki11%
Questions about Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka or V-varen Nagasaki: which side does the model back?
The model gives Avispa Fukuoka the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 46% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Avispa Fukuoka find the net in 76% of simulated matches and V-varen Nagasaki in 67%.
When do Avispa Fukuoka play V-varen Nagasaki?
Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki starts at 06:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.