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Live 16 UTC
J1 League Round 14 Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
FC TokyoHomeLWDWW
Sat 7 Nov
KashimaAwayWDLWW
492526
FC Tokyo winDrawKashima win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
2.97
1.75 : 1.22
Favourite
49%
FC Tokyo
Over 2.5 goals
57%
model chance
Both teams to score
59%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

FC Tokyo vs Kashima odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.083.643.411.742.121.592.21Bet
22Bet2.083.623.381.732.111.592.21Bet
BC.Game2.043.503.351.692.081.562.22Bet
Betwinner2.083.623.381.732.111.592.21Bet
Melbet2.083.623.381.732.111.592.21Bet
Stake2.033.553.35--1.582.18Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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FC Tokyo to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best FC Tokyo price at 2.08, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.64 and 1xBet have Kashima longest at 3.41.

The best-price payout across the three results is 95.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.74 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.12 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.59 (22Bet) and no 2.22 (BC.Game).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

75%

Our prediction

FC Tokyo or Kashima (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.75 : 1.22-3.4% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.74
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.59
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.26fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.09fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC Tokyo, full-time FC Tokyo
31% chance3.24fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.36fair

FC Tokyo vs Kashima prediction

FC Tokyo vs Kashima prediction, who wins and at what price

FC Tokyo are a narrow favourite in the FC Tokyo vs Kashima prediction, rated 49% to win this J1 League match on Saturday, 7 November 2026. Kashima sit at 26% and the draw at 25%.

FC Tokyo are expected to score 1.75 and Kashima 1.22, so the total line is 2.97 goals; over 2.5 lands at 57% and BTTS at 59%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is fC Tokyo or Kashima (no draw) at 75%. At 1.29 with 1xBet the market prices it at 78%, against 75% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Form check: FC Tokyo have won 3 of their last 5 with 14 scored and 1 conceded, Kashima 3 of 5 scoring 13 and conceding 6.

How many goals in FC Tokyo vs Kashima? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 43% and under 3.5 65%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 80% and over 2.5 at 57%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.74 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 59%. FC Tokyo score in 83% of simulations against a 17% clean sheet for Kashima; Kashima score in 71% while FC Tokyo shut them out 30% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11%, then 2-1 at 9.6% and 1-0 at 9%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time FC Tokyo, full-time FC Tokyo leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, FC Tokyo vs Kashima

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for FC Tokyo vs Kashima, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

FC Tokyo to win49%2.08
Draw25%3.64
Kashima to win26%3.41
FC Tokyo, draw no bet65%fair 1.53
Kashima, draw no bet35%fair 2.89

Double chance

FC Tokyo or draw74%1.32
Kashima or draw51%1.76
FC Tokyo or Kashima (no draw)75%1.29

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals57%1.74
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.89
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.56
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.90
Under 2.5 goals43%2.12
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.53

BTTS

Both teams to score59%1.59
Not both teams to score41%2.22

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.59
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24

Team goals

FC Tokyo to score83%fair 1.21
Kashima to score71%fair 1.42
FC Tokyo clean sheet30%fair 3.39
Kashima clean sheet17%fair 5.75
FC Tokyo to win to nil27%fair 3.68
Kashima to win to nil16%fair 6.25

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-111%
2-19.6%
1-09%
2-07.9%
1-26.7%
0-16.3%

Half-time / full-time

FC Tokyo / FC Tokyo30.9%
Draw / FC Tokyo16%
Kashima / Kashima15.2%
Draw / Draw13.4%
Draw / Kashima9.6%

Questions about FC Tokyo vs Kashima

Who will win FC Tokyo vs Kashima?

The model gives FC Tokyo the best chance at 49%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in FC Tokyo vs Kashima?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 57%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in FC Tokyo vs Kashima?

The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. FC Tokyo find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Kashima in 71%.

When do FC Tokyo play Kashima?

Kick-off is 06:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, FC Tokyo v KashimaFC Tokyo or Kashima (no draw), 75%
1.29Bet