J1 League
Machida ZelviaHomeWWDWD
Sun 8 Nov
Sanfrecce HiroshimaAwayWLWLW342739
Machida Zelvia winDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima win
Machida ZelviaHomeWWDWDSanfrecce HiroshimaAwayWLWLW- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.78 1.34 : 1.44
- Favourite
- 39% Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 57% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.98 | 3.47 | 2.36 | 1.83 | 2.00 | 1.63 | 2.14 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.97 | 3.44 | 2.35 | 1.82 | 1.98 | 1.63 | 2.14 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.34 | 1.78 | 1.95 | 1.60 | 2.14 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.97 | 3.44 | 2.35 | 1.82 | 1.98 | 1.63 | 2.14 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.97 | 3.44 | 2.35 | 1.82 | 1.98 | 1.63 | 2.14 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.95 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.74 | 1.98 | 1.61 | 2.13 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 2.98 for Machida Zelvia at 1xBet, 3.47 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.36 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.83 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.00 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.63 (Betwinner) and no 2.14 (Betwinner).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
73%
Our prediction
Machida Zelvia or Sanfrecce Hiroshima (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.83
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.63
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.31fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.33fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sanfrecce Hiroshima, full-time Sanfrecce Hiroshima
24% chance4.26fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.40fair
Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction
Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction and best bet
Nothing separates the sides in the Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction for Sunday, 8 November 2026: 34% home, 27% draw and 39% away in the J1 League. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
The goal expectancy is 2.78 in total, split 1.34 to Machida Zelvia and 1.44 to Sanfrecce Hiroshima. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 52% and both teams to score 57%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Machida Zelvia or Sanfrecce Hiroshima (no draw) is the main selection, rated 73%. At 1.32 with 1xBet the market prices it at 76%, against 73% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Machida Zelvia have won 3 of their last 5 with 9 scored and 0 conceded, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3 of 5 scoring 13 and conceding 8.
How many goals in Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima reads 77% for over 1.5, 52% for over 2.5 and 30% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 48%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 1xBet pay 1.83.
Both teams to score is 57%: Machida Zelvia find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Sanfrecce Hiroshima in 76%. Machida Zelvia keep a clean sheet 24% of the time and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 26%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (8.9%) and 1-2 (8.6%).
With the top scoreline at 12%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Sanfrecce Hiroshima, full-time Sanfrecce Hiroshima is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.
All markets, Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
The grid built from 1.34 and 1.44 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Machida Zelvia to win34%2.98
Draw27%3.47
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win39%2.36
Machida Zelvia, draw no bet47%fair 2.15
Sanfrecce Hiroshima, draw no bet53%fair 1.87
Double chance
Machida Zelvia or draw61%1.60
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw66%1.40
Machida Zelvia or Sanfrecce Hiroshima (no draw)73%1.32
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%1.83
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.29
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.71
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.26
Under 2.5 goals48%2.00
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.44
BTTS
Both teams to score57%1.63
Not both teams to score43%2.14
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.81
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28
Team goals
Machida Zelvia to score74%fair 1.36
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score76%fair 1.31
Machida Zelvia clean sheet24%fair 4.22
Sanfrecce Hiroshima clean sheet26%fair 3.82
Machida Zelvia to win to nil22%fair 4.59
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win to nil24%fair 4.15
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112%
0-18.9%
1-28.6%
1-08.3%
2-18%
0-26.4%
Half-time / full-time
Sanfrecce Hiroshima / Sanfrecce Hiroshima23.5%
Machida Zelvia / Machida Zelvia20.5%
Draw / Draw14.9%
Draw / Sanfrecce Hiroshima13.7%
Draw / Machida Zelvia12.4%
Questions about Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Machida Zelvia or Sanfrecce Hiroshima: which side does the model back?
The model gives Sanfrecce Hiroshima the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 52%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Machida Zelvia find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Sanfrecce Hiroshima in 76%.
When is Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 05:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.