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Live 12 UTC
J1 League Round 12 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
Tokyo VerdyHomeLLDWW
3:1Half-time 1:0
Avispa FukuokaAwayLLLLL
313237
Tokyo Verdy winDrawAvispa Fukuoka win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
2.09
0.99 : 1.10
Favourite
37%
Avispa Fukuoka
Over 2.5 goals
34%
model chance
Both teams to score
43%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.183.102.442.611.462.131.64Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Avispa Fukuoka to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction: Tokyo Verdy 3.18 (1xBet), draw 3.10 (1xBet), Avispa Fukuoka 2.44 (1xBet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.61 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.46 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.13 (1xBet) and no 1.64 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

69%

Our prediction

Avispa Fukuoka or draw
LeanExpected goals 0.99 : 1.10-5.3% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
66% chance1.46
BTTSNot both teams to score
57% chance1.64
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
62% chance1.62fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
14% chance7.35fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Avispa Fukuoka, full-time Avispa Fukuoka
22% chance4.63fair
First halfFirst-half goal
61% chance1.64fair

Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction

Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction and best bet

The Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. J1 League on Saturday, 24 October 2026 gives Tokyo Verdy a 31% chance, Avispa Fukuoka 37% and the draw 32%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

The goal expectancy is 2.09 in total, split 0.99 to Tokyo Verdy and 1.10 to Avispa Fukuoka. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 34% and both teams to score 43%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Avispa Fukuoka or draw is the main selection, rated 69%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.37. That price implies 73%, 4 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

A 32% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.

Over the last 5 matches Tokyo Verdy stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Avispa Fukuoka show 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in 5.

A low-scoring Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 62%, over 2.5 at 34%, over 3.5 at 16%; under 2.5 is 66% and under 3.5 is 84%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 66%; 1xBet pay 1.46.

Both teams to score is 43%: Tokyo Verdy find the net in 63% of simulated matches and Avispa Fukuoka in 67%. Tokyo Verdy keep a clean sheet 33% of the time and Avispa Fukuoka 37%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka: 0-1 (13.6%), 1-1 (13.5%) and 0-0 (12.4%).

With the top scoreline at 13.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Avispa Fukuoka, full-time Avispa Fukuoka is the top combination at 22%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 61%.

Every market rated for Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka

The grid built from 0.99 and 1.10 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Tokyo Verdy to win31%3.18
Draw32%3.10
Avispa Fukuoka to win37%2.44
Tokyo Verdy, draw no bet46%fair 2.20
Avispa Fukuoka, draw no bet55%fair 1.83

Double chance

Tokyo Verdy or draw63%1.57
Avispa Fukuoka or draw69%1.37
Tokyo Verdy or Avispa Fukuoka (no draw)68%1.38

Goals

Over 0.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 1.5 goals62%fair 1.62
Over 2.5 goals34%2.61
Over 3.5 goals16%fair 6.29
Over 4.5 goals6%fair 16.39
Under 1.5 goals38%fair 2.62
Under 2.5 goals66%1.46
Under 3.5 goals84%fair 1.19

BTTS

Both teams to score43%2.13
Not both teams to score57%1.64

Halves

First-half goal61%fair 1.64
Over 1.5 first-half goals24%fair 4.13
Second-half goal68%fair 1.46

Team goals

Tokyo Verdy to score63%fair 1.59
Avispa Fukuoka to score67%fair 1.50
Tokyo Verdy clean sheet33%fair 3.00
Avispa Fukuoka clean sheet37%fair 2.69
Tokyo Verdy to win to nil28%fair 3.52
Avispa Fukuoka to win to nil34%fair 2.94

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97

Most likely scores

0-113.6%
1-113.5%
0-012.4%
1-012.2%
0-27.5%
1-27.4%

Half-time / full-time

Avispa Fukuoka / Avispa Fukuoka21.6%
Draw / Draw20.7%
Tokyo Verdy / Tokyo Verdy18%
Draw / Avispa Fukuoka14.7%
Draw / Tokyo Verdy12.8%

Questions about Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka

Tokyo Verdy or Avispa Fukuoka: which side does the model back?

The model gives Avispa Fukuoka the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 32%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka correct score: what does the model say?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 34%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka?

The BTTS yes line is rated 43%. Tokyo Verdy find the net in 63% of simulated matches and Avispa Fukuoka in 67%.

When is Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 06:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Tokyo Verdy v Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka or draw, 69%
1.37Bet