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J1 League Round 14 Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
Yokohama F. MarinosHomeDDDWW
Sat 7 Nov
Fagiano OkayamaAwayDLWLL
392833
Yokohama F. Marinos winDrawFagiano Okayama win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
2.74
1.43 : 1.31
Favourite
39%
Yokohama F. Marinos
Over 2.5 goals
51%
model chance
Both teams to score
56%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.693.422.611.891.931.662.09Bet
22Bet2.683.402.591.881.921.662.09Bet
BC.Game2.603.252.601.841.871.652.06Bet
Betwinner2.683.402.591.881.921.662.09Bet
Melbet2.683.402.591.881.921.662.09Bet
Stake2.703.252.551.811.891.652.06Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Yokohama F. Marinos to win partner prices

Stake pay the best Yokohama F. Marinos price at 2.70, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.42 and 1xBet have Fagiano Okayama longest at 2.61.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.89 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.93 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.66 (1xBet) and no 2.09 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

72%

Our prediction

Yokohama F. Marinos or Fagiano Okayama (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.43 : 1.31-4.4% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.89
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.66
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Yokohama F. Marinos, full-time Yokohama F. Marinos
24% chance4.22fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.41fair

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama prediction

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama prediction and best bet

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama prediction for the J1 League on Saturday, 7 November 2026: the model calls it close, Yokohama F. Marinos 39%, draw 28%, Fagiano Okayama 34%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.

Yokohama F. Marinos are expected to score 1.43 and Fagiano Okayama 1.31, so the total line is 2.74 goals; over 2.5 lands at 51% and BTTS at 56%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Yokohama F. Marinos or Fagiano Okayama (no draw) is the main selection, rated 72%. At 1.32 with 1xBet the market prices it at 76%, against 72% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama.

Over the last 5 matches Yokohama F. Marinos stand at 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Fagiano Okayama show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama

On the goal lines Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama reads 76% for over 1.5, 51% for over 2.5 and 30% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 49%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.89 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 56%, built from Yokohama F. Marinos scoring in 76% of runs and Fagiano Okayama in 73%; clean sheets come at 27% for Yokohama F. Marinos and 24% for Fagiano Okayama.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.1%, followed by 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.6%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Yokohama F. Marinos, full-time Yokohama F. Marinos leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 39% / 28% / 34% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Yokohama F. Marinos to win39%2.70
Draw28%3.42
Fagiano Okayama to win34%2.61
Yokohama F. Marinos, draw no bet54%fair 1.86
Fagiano Okayama, draw no bet46%fair 2.16

Double chance

Yokohama F. Marinos or draw67%1.51
Fagiano Okayama or draw61%1.48
Yokohama F. Marinos or Fagiano Okayama (no draw)72%1.32

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.89
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.39
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 6.99
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.15
Under 2.5 goals49%1.93
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.42

BTTS

Both teams to score56%1.66
Not both teams to score44%2.09

Halves

First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.87
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29

Team goals

Yokohama F. Marinos to score76%fair 1.31
Fagiano Okayama to score73%fair 1.37
Yokohama F. Marinos clean sheet27%fair 3.70
Fagiano Okayama clean sheet24%fair 4.18
Yokohama F. Marinos to win to nil25%fair 4.03
Fagiano Okayama to win to nil22%fair 4.55

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
1-09.2%
2-18.6%
0-18.5%
1-27.9%
2-06.6%

Half-time / full-time

Yokohama F. Marinos / Yokohama F. Marinos23.7%
Fagiano Okayama / Fagiano Okayama20.1%
Draw / Draw15.1%
Draw / Yokohama F. Marinos13.9%
Draw / Fagiano Okayama12.3%

Questions about Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama

Who is favourite in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama?

The model gives Yokohama F. Marinos the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 51% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama?

The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Yokohama F. Marinos find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Fagiano Okayama in 73%.

When is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 05:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Yokohama F. Marinos v Fagiano OkayamaYokohama F. Marinos or Fagiano Okayama (no draw), 72%
1.32Bet