CatanzaroHomeLDLDD
PadovaAwayLLWWD
CatanzaroHomeLDLDD
PadovaAwayLLWWD| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.28 | 3.34 | 3.01 | 1.72 | 2.05 | 1.57 | 2.26 | Bet | |
| 2.49 | 3.15 | 3.01 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet | |
| 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.05 | 1.76 | 1.98 | 1.59 | 2.22 | Bet | |
| 2.49 | 3.15 | 3.01 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet | |
| 2.49 | 3.15 | 3.01 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Melbet pay the best Catanzaro price at 2.49, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.34 and BC.Game have Padova longest at 3.05.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 97.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.90 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.05 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.65 (Melbet) and no 2.26 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
Our prediction
Nothing separates the sides in the Catanzaro vs Padova prediction for Saturday, 31 October 2026: 39% home, 28% draw and 34% away in the Serie B. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Expected goals are 1.45 for Catanzaro and 1.34 for Padova, a total of 2.79, which puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 59%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Catanzaro or Padova (no draw) is the main selection, rated 72%. At 1.36 with Betwinner the market prices it at 74%, against 72% from the model.
Form check: Catanzaro have won 0 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 13 conceded, Padova 2 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 5.
On the goal lines Catanzaro vs Padova reads 77% for over 1.5, 52% for over 2.5 and 31% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 48%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.90 at Melbet.
Both teams to score is 59%: Catanzaro find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Padova in 74%. Catanzaro keep a clean sheet 26% of the time and Padova 24%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.9%, followed by 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.7%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Catanzaro, full-time Catanzaro is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 39% / 28% / 34% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Catanzaro the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 52%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Catanzaro find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Padova in 74%.
Catanzaro vs Padova starts at 16:15 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.