Serie B
PadovaHomeLLWWD
2:0Half-time 1:0
SudtirolAwayDLDLD393130
Padova winDrawSudtirol win
PadovaHomeLLWWDSudtirolAwayDLDLD- Kick-off Tue 27 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.36 1.26 : 1.10
- Favourite
- 39% Padova
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 49% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Padova vs Sudtirol odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.40 | 3.10 | 3.04 | 2.09 | 1.69 | 1.81 | 1.90 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.17 | 3.10 | 3.72 | 2.34 | 1.62 | 1.99 | 1.84 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.08 | 3.05 | 3.75 | 2.18 | 1.62 | 1.87 | 1.83 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.17 | 3.10 | 3.70 | 2.32 | 1.61 | 1.98 | 1.83 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.17 | 3.10 | 3.70 | 2.32 | 1.61 | 1.98 | 1.83 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Padova to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Padova vs Sudtirol are 2.40 for Padova at 1xBet, 3.10 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.75 for Sudtirol at BC.Game.
The best-price payout across the three results is 99.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.34 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.69 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.99 (22Bet) and no 1.90 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
69%
Our prediction
Padova or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.69
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.90
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
68% chance1.46fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.63fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Padova, full-time Padova
23% chance4.29fair
First halfFirst-half goal
65% chance1.53fair
Padova vs Sudtirol odds movement
Padova win2.40-0.05
Draw3.10-0.03
Sudtirol win3.75unchanged
Over 2.5 goals2.34unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.69-0.03
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Padova vs Sudtirol prediction
Padova vs Sudtirol prediction, who wins and at what price
Padova vs Sudtirol prediction for the Serie B on Tuesday, 27 October 2026: the model calls it close, Padova 39%, draw 31%, Sudtirol 31%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Expected goals are 1.26 for Padova and 1.10 for Sudtirol, a total of 2.36, which puts over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 49%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is padova or draw at 69%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.35. That price implies 74%, 5 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
The draw is live at 31%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Form check: Padova have won 2 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 5 conceded, Sudtirol 0 of 5 scoring 2 and conceding 7.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Padova vs Sudtirol
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 68%, over 2.5 at 42%, over 3.5 at 21%; under 2.5 is 58% and under 3.5 is 79%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.69 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 49%, built from Padova scoring in 72% of runs and Sudtirol in 67%; clean sheets come at 33% for Padova and 28% for Sudtirol.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Padova vs Sudtirol: 1-1 (13.1%), 1-0 (11.9%) and 0-1 (10.4%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Padova, full-time Padova is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 65%.
Every market rated for Padova vs Sudtirol
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 39% / 31% / 31% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Padova to win39%2.40
Draw31%3.10
Sudtirol to win31%3.75
Padova, draw no bet56%fair 1.80
Sudtirol, draw no bet44%fair 2.26
Double chance
Padova or draw69%1.35
Sudtirol or draw62%1.69
Padova or Sudtirol (no draw)69%1.37
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals68%fair 1.46
Over 2.5 goals42%2.34
Over 3.5 goals21%fair 4.69
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 10.99
Under 1.5 goals32%fair 3.15
Under 2.5 goals58%1.69
Under 3.5 goals79%fair 1.27
BTTS
Both teams to score49%1.99
Not both teams to score51%1.90
Halves
First-half goal65%fair 1.53
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.48
Second-half goal73%fair 1.38
Team goals
Padova to score72%fair 1.40
Sudtirol to score67%fair 1.50
Padova clean sheet33%fair 3.00
Sudtirol clean sheet28%fair 3.52
Padova to win to nil31%fair 3.27
Sudtirol to win to nil26%fair 3.83
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-113.1%
1-011.9%
0-110.4%
0-09.4%
2-18.2%
2-07.5%
Half-time / full-time
Padova / Padova23.3%
Sudtirol / Sudtirol18.2%
Draw / Draw18%
Draw / Padova14.7%
Draw / Sudtirol12.3%
Questions about Padova vs Sudtirol
Padova or Sudtirol: which side does the model back?
The model gives Padova the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 31%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Padova vs Sudtirol?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 42%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Padova vs Sudtirol both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Padova find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Sudtirol in 67%.
What time does Padova vs Sudtirol kick off?
Padova vs Sudtirol starts at 19:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.