Serie B
PadovaHomeLLWWD
Sat 7 Nov
EmpoliAwayLDLLD452827
Padova winDrawEmpoli win
PadovaHomeLLWWDEmpoliAwayLDLLD- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.56 1.46 : 1.10
- Favourite
- 45% Padova
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 53% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Padova vs Empoli odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.11 | 3.38 | 3.32 | 1.90 | 1.84 | 1.72 | 2.01 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.11 | 3.38 | 3.33 | 1.90 | 1.84 | 1.72 | 2.01 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.35 | 1.95 | 1.78 | 1.73 | 1.95 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.11 | 3.38 | 3.33 | 1.90 | 1.84 | 1.72 | 2.01 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.11 | 3.38 | 3.33 | 1.90 | 1.84 | 1.72 | 2.01 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Padova to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Padova vs Empoli are 2.11 for Padova at 1xBet, 3.38 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.35 for Empoli at BC.Game.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.95 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 1.84 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.73 (BC.Game) and no 2.01 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
73%
Our prediction
Padova or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.84
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.73
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.06fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Padova, full-time Padova
27% chance3.68fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.46fair
Padova vs Empoli prediction
Padova vs Empoli prediction, who wins and at what price
The Padova vs Empoli prediction leans to Padova: 45% against 27% for Empoli, with 28% left for the draw, in the Serie B on Saturday, 7 November 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.56 in total, split 1.46 to Padova and 1.10 to Empoli. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 46% and both teams to score 53%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is padova or draw at 73%. At 1.30 with 1xBet the market prices it at 77%, against 73% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Padova vs Empoli.
Padova average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Empoli 1.2 and 2.2 across 5.
Padova vs Empoli goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
On the goal lines Padova vs Empoli reads 73% for over 1.5, 46% for over 2.5 and 26% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 54%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; Melbet pay 1.84.
BTTS yes stands at 53%. Padova score in 77% of simulations against a 23% clean sheet for Empoli; Empoli score in 67% while Padova shut them out 33% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%, followed by 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.1%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Padova, full-time Padova is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.
Every market rated for Padova vs Empoli
The grid built from 1.46 and 1.10 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Padova to win45%2.11
Draw28%3.38
Empoli to win27%3.35
Padova, draw no bet62%fair 1.61
Empoli, draw no bet38%fair 2.63
Double chance
Padova or draw73%1.30
Empoli or draw55%1.68
Padova or Empoli (no draw)72%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals46%1.95
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.92
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.55
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.64
Under 2.5 goals54%1.84
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.34
BTTS
Both teams to score53%1.73
Not both teams to score47%2.01
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.13
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32
Team goals
Padova to score77%fair 1.30
Empoli to score67%fair 1.50
Padova clean sheet33%fair 3.00
Empoli clean sheet23%fair 4.31
Padova to win to nil31%fair 3.27
Empoli to win to nil21%fair 4.67
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.4%
1-011.3%
2-19.1%
0-18.5%
2-08.2%
0-07.7%
Half-time / full-time
Padova / Padova27.2%
Draw / Draw16.2%
Empoli / Empoli16.1%
Draw / Padova15.8%
Draw / Empoli10.7%
Questions about Padova vs Empoli
Who is favourite in Padova vs Empoli?
The model gives Padova the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Padova vs Empoli correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 46% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Padova vs Empoli?
The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Padova find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Empoli in 67%.
When is Padova vs Empoli and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.